NC-PPP: Trump +2
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  NC-PPP: Trump +2
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Author Topic: NC-PPP: Trump +2  (Read 3179 times)
NOVA Green
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« Reply #25 on: September 21, 2016, 02:12:20 PM »

All things considering actually a fairly decent poll for Trump...

He has been spending a bit of time out there recently and maybe getting some benefit from free and relatively positive local media coverage.
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Kempros
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« Reply #26 on: September 21, 2016, 09:40:59 PM »


Could you imagine the media freak-out show if the map ever got to be like this?
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JJC
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« Reply #27 on: September 21, 2016, 10:14:29 PM »


Could you imagine the media freak-out show if the map ever got to be like this?

While I think PA is always a fools errand for Republicans, the truth is that map is actually pretty viable as an outcome.

Both MI and WI - 2 states with a high white-working class populous, has Trump within 5 points. Hillary has the advantage, obviously, but with a high turnout among that group, Trump could pull it out. It's a long shot, but 2014 showed us what happens when the turnout models don't go as expected. And this year I believe white vs. minority turnout will vastly favor Trump. (Sorry democrats, unlike Obama Hillary is just very underwhelming.)

NV is a little unusual this cycle in that Trump has a strong brand there. Typically leans dem but I think Trump will take it.

If WI goes Trump, I think CO will too. Mostly for similar reasons, but also because Johnson is unusually strong in that state (weed support perhaps?!). He could suck just enough millennial support from Clinton to give Trump the state.

OH and FL will vote together. They always do. And IA and NC will probably both go to Trump too, although NC will be much closer than IA (surprisingly).

NH probably goes to Clinton. Again, I see that state as a fools errand just like PA. It'll be relatively close, but Hillary will pull it out. The Dems simply have too high of a floor.

VA is no longer a swing state Sad
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bronz4141
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« Reply #28 on: September 21, 2016, 10:15:58 PM »

NC is gone for the Democrats tonight, in my opinion. Better for Clinton to go after GA and AZ. NC is gone. If you think suburban swing voters will put up with the anarchy, you're mistaken.
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Kempros
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« Reply #29 on: September 21, 2016, 10:23:31 PM »

It's one of my "What-If" Maps
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #30 on: September 21, 2016, 10:24:44 PM »


lol, please
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JJC
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« Reply #31 on: September 21, 2016, 11:30:22 PM »

NC is gone for the Democrats tonight, in my opinion. Better for Clinton to go after GA and AZ. NC is gone. If you think suburban swing voters will put up with the anarchy, you're mistaken.
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