NC-Upshot/Siena: Ross +4

[heatcharger]

http://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2016/09/22/upshot/north-carolina-upshot-siena-poll.html?rref=collection%2Fsectioncollection%2Fupshot&smid=tw-upshotnyt&smtyp=cur

Ross - 46%
Burr - 42%

Burr underperforming Trump by 4 points is bad news no matter how you slice it.

[Gass3268]

Very nice!

[Phony Moderate]

All over the place this one. I don't know whether Burr's non-entity status will count in his favour or against him in the end.

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Great news😁

[Xing]

Looks like the Fox poll was an outlier. Burr is in trouble.

[pppolitics]

Beautiful poll!

[Figueira]

Looks like my bold prediction of a Ross victory might actually come true. I'm still cautious on this one, though.

[Maxwell]

I misread this at first - I thought it said Burr+4... it's ROSS+4!!! Yikes.

R.I.P. Burr

[Lief 🗽]

My god, NC's senate delegation is just a constant rotation of backbench non-entities isn't it?

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

Burr is done.

[Maxwell]

My god, NC's senate delegation is just a constant rotation of backbench non-entities isn't it?

I'd like to believe that North Carolina is realizing the error of electing Thom "The Man with Dirty Hands" Tillis to the Senate and are trying to correct it in order to make peace with the lord by defeating his dull companion whose name they always forget.

[KingSweden]

My god, NC's senate delegation is just a constant rotation of backbench non-entities isn't it?

Historically, yeah, since they usually get bounced after one term with exceptions like Ervin and Helms

[Amenhotep Bakari-Sellers]

We obviously gonna have different winners of different races, this time. Heck can win and so can Ross. And we can have a runoff in VA Bobby Scott is favored and in La

[Antonio the Sixth]

It's happening?

[Figueira]

My god, NC's senate delegation is just a constant rotation of backbench non-entities isn't it?

I'd like to believe that North Carolina is realizing the error of electing Thom "The Man with Dirty Hands" Tillis to the Senate and are trying to correct it in order to make peace with the lord by defeating his dull companion whose name they always forget.

On the subject of Tillis, I really think that he's going to be the Ron Johnson of 2020; I could see the national GOP basically giving up on his race about a year before the election even occurs, despite the fact that North Carolina is still friendly to Republican candidates, because Tillis is that much of a joke. I could see him losing by near double digits against a really strong Dem nominee.

North Carolina is not Wisconsin, but maybe it will be by 2020. I don't think there's really an equivalent to Russ Feingold in North Carolina politics, though.

Yes, let's call the race for Ross based on this one poll!

Pure Tossup at this point.

I'm not calling it for Ross; I'm just saying I personally think she's slightly favored. Still definitely a tossup, though.

[Young Conservative]

Hopefully this doesn't hold.