Competitive House Predictions: CA-52 to FL-13

[ElectionsGuy]

One vote for each race.

Update/Vote in the previous threads. There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall results!

Part 1

Predictions



Safe R: 202
Safe D: 176

Competitive R: 5
Competitive D: 5

Republicans: 207
Democrats: 181

Net Gains

CA-25 (D+1)

All the safe races are colored in dark red or blue by virtue of not being in play in any of the three prognosticaters. Competitive races are colored in lighter and depend on poll results. The two are added up for the grand total. The gray districts are obviously the ones we have yet to do. Net gains will also be listed and noted of. Right now, the only one that's close is CA-25 (the only net gain thus far) and that can easily be changed as the thread only has 28 votes right now. Also just a note in case one doesn't know (I'm guessing the vast majority do) but Florida totally redistricted their congressional seats. FL-02 and FL-10 are are deep red and blue districts respectively, completely different from the previous versions of the districts. FL-07 is also much more Democratic.

My Predictions

CA-52: Peters (D)
CO-03: Tipton (R)
CO-06: Coffman (R)
FL-02: Dunn (R)
FL-07: Mica (R)
FL-10: Demings (D)
FL-13: Crist (D)

[ElectionsGuy]

"Oh no, the colors" Yeah I screwed that up and realized it after I was done with paint, but I think its obvious enough the Republican and Democratic districts.

[ElectionsGuy]

FL10 and FL2 are not competitive after redistribution. Romney won the new FL2 with over 60% and I'm not sure about FL10 but Webster wouldn't switch districts if it was competitive.

Cook put them as Likely R (FL-02) and Likely D (FL-10), probably just because they're flips. Pretty much everybody else agrees they're safe but got to abide by my rules. Cook is definitely my least favorite out of the three.

[ElectionsGuy]

Why is Murphy's district (PA) listed as competitive?  I'm pretty sure he's running unopposed

Good catch, should be PA-16 (Lancaster district). Will be changed in the next thread.

[ElectionsGuy]

Bumping due to closeness of CO-06.