#TheShadowyAbyss
TheShadowyAbyss
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Posts: 12,033
Political Matrix
E: -5.81, S: -3.64
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« on: September 23, 2016, 05:38:54 PM » |
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« edited: September 23, 2016, 05:41:24 PM by #TheShadowyAbyss »
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What is causing both Iowa and Ohio to swing so quickly to Trump? Iowa I can easily attribute it being a more whiter state and less educated state, but Ohio still intrigues me.
In order for Trump to be leading he has to be running up the scores in the suburbs of Cincinnati and Columbus and doing strongly in Southeast Appalachian Ohio while keeping the margins close in Cuyahoga county, which based on Trump's performance with minorities, women and urban whites, doesn't seem likely, so what is going on?
Iowa trendlines:
more smoothing:
Less smoothing:
Ohio trendlines:
More smoothing:
Less smoothing:
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