What are the odds of this map?
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Author Topic: What are the odds of this map?  (Read 549 times)
elcorazon
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« on: September 25, 2016, 07:32:28 AM »

ME-1 puts Hillary over the top.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 07:44:32 AM »
Based on current polling, wouldn't PA and WI flip before Maine?
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Nyvin
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 08:19:15 AM »
That would imply Hillary wins ME-1 by a smaller margin than Trump wins ME-2, which is sorta hard to believe
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elcorazon
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2016, 08:50:47 AM »
Quote from: PresidentSamTilden on September 25, 2016, 07:44:32 AM
Based on current polling, wouldn't PA and WI flip before Maine?
maybe maybe not.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2016, 10:06:02 AM »
Republican Maine isn't going to happen.
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AGA
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« Reply #5 on: September 25, 2016, 02:59:46 PM »
Trump would win Colorado, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and possibly some other states, before Maine.
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elcorazon
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« Reply #6 on: September 25, 2016, 06:39:28 PM »
Quote from: Chrome on September 25, 2016, 02:59:46 PM
Trump would win Colorado, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, and possibly some other states, before Maine.
polls are not so clear on this. Only states polls show as closer are CO, NH & maybe PA, but there are legit reasons to think they may be tougher for Trump to pull out than Maine, possibly. I'm not predicting it. I'm just saying it's a map I hadn't considered and it's not really that remote.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #7 on: September 25, 2016, 08:34:14 PM »
Hard to imagine Trump wins ME-02 by a big enough margin to swing the state.
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Hilldog
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« Reply #8 on: September 25, 2016, 08:37:46 PM »
I think Clinton is up 22 in Maine overall so the odds aren't good.  I'd give Trump one EV there.  Colorado may well decide the election. 
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #9 on: September 25, 2016, 08:42:25 PM »
Quote from: Hilldog on September 25, 2016, 08:37:46 PM
I think Clinton is up 22 in Maine overall so the odds aren't good.  I'd give Trump one EV there.  Colorado may well decide the election. 
22??? Dude, that would put her at at least 70% in ME-01. Not happening
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Hilldog
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« Reply #10 on: September 25, 2016, 08:43:58 PM »
Quote from: John Ewards on September 25, 2016, 08:42:25 PM
Quote from: Hilldog on September 25, 2016, 08:37:46 PM
I think Clinton is up 22 in Maine overall so the odds aren't good.  I'd give Trump one EV there.  Colorado may well decide the election. 
22??? Dude, that would put her at at least 70% in ME-01. Not happening

I meant to say 22 in ME 1.  My bad.
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Figueira
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« Reply #11 on: September 25, 2016, 08:55:06 PM »
Very little.
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