GA-JMC Analytics: Trump+6
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  GA-JMC Analytics: Trump+6
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Author Topic: GA-JMC Analytics: Trump+6  (Read 1867 times)
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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E: -6.06, S: -4.84

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« on: September 24, 2016, 12:49:56 AM »

44% Trump (+7)
38% Clinton (-6)
  5% Johnson (-2)
  1% (Stein) - not on the ballot

POLLING METHODOLOGY

JMC Analytics and Polling chose a sample of likely households residing in Georgia for an automated poll, and there were 600 completed responses to five poll questions.

The survey was conducted September 20-22. The margin of error, with a 95% confidence interval, was 4.0%.

The demographic breakdown of the respondents was 60-29% white/black (12% “other”), and the geographic breakdown of the respondents was as follows: 66% from metro Atlanta, 15% from Central Georgia, 3% from North Georgia, and 17% from South Georgia (The explanation of the boundaries of these regions is graphically depicted in Exhibit A at the end of the poll analysis).

http://winwithjmc.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/09/Georgia-Executive-Summary-Poll-2.pdf
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Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
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E: -1.42, S: -0.52

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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2016, 01:06:57 AM »

Undecideds go almost universally republican in GA. Looking like Clinton is close to being completely out of luck here.
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Xing
xingkerui
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E: -6.52, S: -3.91

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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2016, 01:07:59 AM »

JMC has been kinda wonky this cycle. This result itself isn't implausible, but that swing...
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2016, 01:14:05 AM »

Undecideds go almost universally republican in GA. Looking like Clinton is close to being completely out of luck here.

+Ted Cruz endorsed TRUMP
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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E: -2.71, S: -5.22

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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2016, 01:18:46 AM »

Undecideds go almost universally republican in GA. Looking like Clinton is close to being completely out of luck here.

+Ted Cruz endorsed TRUMP

Seriously... are you a troll or really that uninformed? The people Donald can't bring in aren't Cruz backers, they're already solidly in the clown car.
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Person Man
Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2016, 05:45:11 AM »

Undecideds go almost universally republican in GA. Looking like Clinton is close to being completely out of luck here.

+Ted Cruz endorsed TRUMP

Seriously... are you a troll or really that uninformed? The people Donald can't bring in aren't Cruz backers, they're already solidly in the clown car.
Because something that happened on 9/23 effects what polls taken on 9/22. Trump's campaign, as unconventional as it is, defies the law of Physics.
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President Johnson
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E: -3.23, S: -4.70


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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2016, 05:55:32 AM »

Likely Republican at this point.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2016, 06:03:31 AM »

it's a shame but the state which could finally kill trump this year will most likely be NC and not arizona/georgia.
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Kempros
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2016, 06:46:26 AM »

I have a question. They expect the debates to set records in the amount of viewership. Is that becuase of him or her? Pick one.
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ApatheticAustrian
ApathicAustrian
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2016, 09:24:59 AM »

him i would say if i had to choose...but choosing seems illogical.
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NOVA Green
Oregon Progressive
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2016, 02:25:55 PM »

It does look like GA is moving into a likely tossup and drifting out of range at this point.

White educated suburban voters outside of Atlanta are reverting to their traditional ways....
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