Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Ohio
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Poll
Question: Rate Ohio and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D		  
#2
Likely D		  
#3
Lean D		  
#4
Toss-Up		  
#5
Lean R		  
#6
Likely R		  
#7
Safe R		  
#8
Clinton		  
#9
Trump		  
#10
Other		  
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Partisan results
Total Voters: 141

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Ohio  (Read 2780 times)
ElectionsGuy
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« on: September 24, 2016, 03:39:07 PM »
Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

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Ratings



Safe Clinton: 174
Likely Clinton: 20
Lean Clinton: 16
Toss-Up: 51
Lean Trump: 37
Likely Trump: 18
Safe Trump: 53

Clinton: 210
Trump: 108
Toss-Up: 51

Predictions



Clinton: 261
Trump: 108

Ohio: Toss-Up, undecided on who will win at the moment. If Clinton wins here, it will put her over the top in the predictions map.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2016, 03:42:26 PM »
Tossup, lean Trump. Two or three point lead on ED
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2016, 03:43:07 PM »
Toss Up, Trump.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: September 24, 2016, 03:44:20 PM »
Toss-Up, but I'm guessing things will move a bit in Hillary's direction, and she'll pull out a win, 49-48. If the election were held today, Trump would probably win narrowly.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #4 on: September 24, 2016, 03:44:39 PM »
Quote from: Titanium R Nevada on September 24, 2016, 03:44:20 PM
Toss-Up, but I'm guessing things will move a bit in Hillary's direction, and she'll pull out a win, 49-48. If the election were held today, Trump would probably win narrowly.
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #5 on: September 24, 2016, 03:46:01 PM »
Likely R.

Trump 52
Clinton 45
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Ronnie
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« Reply #6 on: September 24, 2016, 03:49:08 PM »
Tossup, but I think Hillary will win it in a squeaker.
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #7 on: September 24, 2016, 04:08:54 PM »
Lean Trump.

Trump 52
Clinton 47
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KingSweden
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« Reply #8 on: September 24, 2016, 04:17:11 PM »
Tossup, sub-2004 margin for Trump
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tinman64
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« Reply #9 on: September 24, 2016, 04:19:51 PM »
Tossup, Trump slightly favored as of 9/24.

Trump 48
Clinton 46
Others 6
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Maxwell
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« Reply #10 on: September 24, 2016, 04:25:30 PM »
Tossup, Trump
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #11 on: September 24, 2016, 04:49:47 PM »
I went through and revised all my preceding votes as the election has tightened, and would advise others to do the same, since there are still some bizarre polling results, considering all of the events over the past 4-6 weeks and changes in national and statewide polling.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #12 on: September 24, 2016, 04:53:51 PM »
« Edited: September 24, 2016, 05:02:50 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Quote from: NOVA Green on September 24, 2016, 04:49:47 PM
I went through and revised all my preceding votes as the election has tightened, and would advise others to do the same, since there are still some bizarre polling results, considering all of the events over the past 4-6 weeks and changes in national and statewide polling.

I'm personally waiting for a debate or two before I change some of mine. I just don't want to do it now then change it again a week later.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #13 on: September 24, 2016, 05:00:52 PM »
I'm probably not going to update any of mine (except in the case of large swings) until we're well into October. By then, much more will be baked in, and I'll probably have more confidence in my predictions (i.e. my ratings will trend away from Toss-Up and toward Safe D/R.)
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #14 on: September 24, 2016, 06:58:25 PM »
Tossup.

Trump: 48%
Clinton: 46%
Johnson: 5%
Other: 1%
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Tiger front
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« Reply #15 on: September 25, 2016, 03:33:31 AM »
Toss-up.
Trump 49%
Clinton 47%
Other 4%
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President Johnson
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« Reply #16 on: September 25, 2016, 05:03:21 AM »
Toss-up.

Trump: 49%
Clinton: 49%

It will be extremely close. As of now, I say Trump will pull it off, but that can change until November 8. In either way.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #17 on: September 25, 2016, 05:26:19 PM »
Tossup, Clinton 49-48
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #18 on: September 29, 2016, 07:24:34 PM »
« Edited: September 29, 2016, 07:39:45 PM by ElectionsGuy »
Now that the debate is over, I'm going to tentatively guess 48-48 Clinton, in a super duper close race.
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Lachi
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« Reply #19 on: September 29, 2016, 08:47:28 PM »
I think this is the only pure toss-up state along with Florida as at least most other states tilt one way or the other.

Pure toss-up
Clinton: 50%
Trump: 48%
Others: 25
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #20 on: September 30, 2016, 08:53:54 AM »
Pure toss-up.

My prediction:

✓ Clinton: 50.1%
Trump: 48.4%
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peterthlee
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« Reply #21 on: October 12, 2016, 09:41:52 AM »
Likely D
Clinton 52-45-3
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #22 on: October 12, 2016, 11:04:35 AM »
Switched to Lean D.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #23 on: October 29, 2016, 04:10:06 PM »

Moved this back from Lean R to tossup with a narrow Trump win ~1%.

So far EV numbers are not spectacular for the Dems in Cuyahoga County, although we should know more after Sunday.
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AGA
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« Reply #24 on: November 03, 2016, 09:35:35 AM »
Changed from Clinton to Trump but leaving this at tossup.
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