PA-Morning Call: Clinton +3 (user search)
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  PA-Morning Call: Clinton +3 (search mode)
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Author Topic: PA-Morning Call: Clinton +3  (Read 4403 times)
StatesPoll
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« on: September 24, 2016, 09:49:52 PM »


Clinton is probably leading Pennsylvania, but by 9? This was taken completely after the pneumonia and deplorables, too. Probably junk.

They're not a bad pollster though so I wouldnt classify it as junk just yet.

But you liked previous PA-Morning Call/Muhlenberg College Poll: Clinton +9
https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=245993.0
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #1 on: September 24, 2016, 09:55:01 PM »

Obvious junk with swings this big in a week.

But your friend Red Avatar 'Lief' praised of previous week PA-Morning Call Poll: Hillary +8

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StatesPoll
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« Reply #2 on: September 24, 2016, 10:56:26 PM »


http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2012/president/pa/pennsylvania_romney_vs_obama-1891.html#polls

August-September,2012 Morning Call Polls
Morning Call   9/22 - 9/26   427 LV   5.0   Obama 49   Romney 42   Obama +7
Morning Call   9/10 - 9/16   640 LV   4.0   Obama 50   Romney 41   Obama +9
Morning Call   8/20 - 8/22   422 LV   5.0   Obama 49   Romney 40   Obama +9
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StatesPoll
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2016, 01:09:03 AM »

    Would love to see some regional breakdowns for these PA polls.  Where is Trump making gains?

Western PA = Rust Belt = TRUMP gains
Philly : Perhaps some of the Hillary supporters in Philly are not enthusiastic.
Hillary is losing her numbers. few days ago her philly rally, She couldn't even gather 200 people.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/19/photo-donald-trump-draws-massive-crowd-far-more-than-hillary-clinton-in-florida/
I guess some of the Hillary supporters in Philly are not enthusiastic. When Election day, They could vote for Johnson or Stein or Stay home.

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StatesPoll
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2016, 04:05:44 AM »

Good news for Trump, but not troubling for Hillary as long as he doesn't actually lead a PA poll ...

2% leads(4way) is nothing.
Because of turnouts.

Perhaps Hillary can't reach turnouts rate of Obama did in 2008,2012(especially Minorities)
as I said already, it is crazy, Democratic nominee couldn't gather 200 crowds in Philly rally.
http://www.breitbart.com/2016-presidential-race/2016/09/19/photo-donald-trump-draws-massive-crowd-far-more-than-hillary-clinton-in-florida/

and TRUMP might boost turnouts of HS, Some college White(Men/Women both) in PA(especially Western PA Rust Belt)


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