Has the Clinton Outreach to Millennials been a Success or Failure?
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  Has the Clinton Outreach to Millennials been a Success or Failure?
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Question: Has the Clinton Outreach to Millennials been a Success or Failure?
#1
Absolute Success
#2
Moderate Success
#3
Maybe-Maybe Not
#4
Moderate Failure
#5
Absolute Failure
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Author Topic: Has the Clinton Outreach to Millennials been a Success or Failure?  (Read 1570 times)
NOVA Green
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« on: September 25, 2016, 09:53:27 PM »

It is well acknowledged that Millennial voters were a key element of the Obama coalition in both '08/'12, and that this is a major part of the Obama Coalition where Clinton is currently struggling.

40% of Millennials are minority Americans in terms of race and ethnicity.

This is a demographic that overwhelmingly supported Bernie in the primaries, that has the highest unfavorables for Trump, in what is now the largest generation in modern American history  (<35 years old) even surpassing the Baby Boomers...

Clinton is currently having major issues with Millennial voters, that not only rejected her overwhelmingly in the Democratic Primaries, but also within a broader electorate that voted heavily Obama in both 2008 and 2012.

Has the Clinton campaign so far done a solid outreach to Millennial voters, and has it been a success or failure?
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #1 on: September 25, 2016, 10:03:10 PM »

What Clinton outreach to millennials?
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Maxwell
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« Reply #2 on: September 25, 2016, 10:46:52 PM »

It's getting better if we look at the latest Economist poll.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #3 on: September 25, 2016, 11:27:05 PM »

My personal opinion is that Clinton should have reached out earlier and emphasized core Party issues important to Millennials, including an increase of the minimum wage to $12-15/hr, affordable college education with a focus on her community college program, as well as affirming her support for climate change legislation with a free market incentive based model.

Additionally Federal reform of Marijuana Policy and promotion of an alternative policy to deal with drug abuse and addiction that focuses less on incarceration and more on substance abuse treatment would play better with the younger generation, and peel off some of the Johnson/Stein supporters.

This is also the generation that bore the disproportionate impact of the the wars in Iraq and Afghanistan, so reducing some of the stereotypes that she is a warmonger would likely help as well
...
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KingSweden
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« Reply #4 on: September 25, 2016, 11:34:43 PM »

Probably good enough to secure a victory in November, so it can't really be a failure.

Nowhere near as good as Obama's obviously -- Sanders really poisoned the well.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #5 on: September 26, 2016, 12:12:32 AM »

Well third party support seems to be dropping like a rock, so maybe?
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Virginiá
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« Reply #6 on: September 26, 2016, 12:23:39 AM »
« Edited: September 26, 2016, 12:25:54 AM by Virginia »

My personal opinion is that Clinton should have reached out earlier and emphasized core Party issues important to Millennials, including an increase of the minimum wage to $12-15/hr, affordable college education with a focus on her community college program, as well as affirming her support for climate change legislation with a free market incentive based model.

We'll have to wait a few weeks before we can conclusively say anything about this. I totally agree with you, though. She seems to have acted like Millennials would end up voting for her regardless and essentially took them for granted, and look at it now. She is only truly beginning outreach, and it will take time.

However, and this is sort of unrelated but I'm going to say it again anyway, I can't really emphasize this enough: Unless Clinton somehow manages to deliver on policy for Millennials and find a way to show them she isn't nearly as bad as they think, she is going to be a net negative for Democrats and their support among Millennials. The worst thing our party could do when Millennials are an important part our of base is to nominate someone as reviled by them as Clinton is. If she remains unpopular and has a bad presidency, she could drive young Millennials who are not fully committed to the Democratic party away. The 18 - 25 year period is where young voters are most impressionable and liable to fluctuate in their leanings.

We're just lucky Republicans nominated Donald Trump, or else they might have had an opening to weaken our support long-term among that group.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #7 on: September 26, 2016, 05:51:51 PM »

The debate Tonight might well be an opportunity to make a pitch to Millennials that have so far been mostly ignored since the convention by the campaign.

I'll need to check the poll settings to see if I can allow voters to modify their vote based upon what they see tonight and further down the line.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #8 on: September 26, 2016, 06:00:14 PM »

Clinton thinks that mentioning 'college' and 'young people' a few times will get her the vote. Absolute failure, if it was even a moderate success under 30's wouldn't be going to Johnson and Stein in droves.
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pho
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« Reply #9 on: September 26, 2016, 06:45:01 PM »

Hillary was never going to completely recreate the Obama coalition, that's completely unrealistic. She'll still win 18-29 by 15-20 pts
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #10 on: September 26, 2016, 06:55:43 PM »

It's too early to say but I'd argue that it has been an abject failure thus far. She can still turn things around though!
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DrScholl
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« Reply #11 on: September 26, 2016, 07:15:22 PM »

The fact that she's up double digits with millennials answers that question rather easily.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #12 on: September 26, 2016, 07:30:53 PM »

This is one reason we feared Bernie more than Hillary.
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Atlas Has Shrugged
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« Reply #13 on: September 26, 2016, 07:34:12 PM »

This is what the Hillary Clinton supporters trying to register voters on the FSU campus look like:

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NOVA Green
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« Reply #14 on: September 26, 2016, 07:54:08 PM »

This is what the Hillary Clinton supporters trying to register voters on the FSU campus look like:



Chairman Sanchez....

You just made me laugh and almost spit out the brew I am sipping before the debate....

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DS0816
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« Reply #15 on: September 26, 2016, 08:38:40 PM »

Hillary was never going to completely recreate the Obama coalition, that's completely unrealistic. She'll still win 18-29 by 15-20 pts

No.

In 2004, John Kerry lost the U.S. Popular Vote by –2.46 percentage points. The only voting-age group he carried nationally was 18–29 voters and by +9.

Hillary Clinton’s campaign now has the stench of a losing campaign. (Her running mate, Tim Kaine, contradicted the campaign saying he—unlike Hillary Clinton—would not support a public option. Compare him to Mike Pence. Pence is not contradicting Donald Trump.)

Donald Trump, not Hillary Clinton, will win this presidential election.
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Vosem
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« Reply #16 on: September 26, 2016, 09:52:48 PM »

Judging by my floor debate-watching party, where people were just laughing at Trump in the last third, I'd say that a lot of outreach was accomplished in the debate.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #17 on: September 26, 2016, 09:55:22 PM »

Bernie and Obama will help more starting in October but there are plenty of people who just won't vote for her no matter what (thanks Bernie).
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #18 on: September 26, 2016, 09:59:48 PM »

It's too early to say but I'd argue that it has been an abject failure thus far. She can still turn things around though!

She turned it around in one night. Amazing!
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #19 on: September 26, 2016, 10:37:31 PM »

Although I am not a Millennial and did not support Clinton in the primaries, I am moving my vote to a maybe-maybe not category, since she did check certain issues in the debate including affordable college tuition, minimum wage increase, and did a much better job on elective wars overseas where the brunt is disproportionately carried by the Americans of military age.

Also, Trump was the only one that mentioned Climate Change, it likely benefited Clinton with this demographic.

Additionally, Trump's "law and order" memo and talking about "stop and frisk" likely didn't help as well, considering that this is mainly a program that focuses on non-violent drug offenses, rather than actually violence in the streets of larger cities in America.
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #20 on: October 01, 2016, 04:43:16 PM »

Am now shifting my vote to a moderate success....

Not only her debate performance, but Trump's post-debate meltdown, combined with a recent policy platform unveiling, appears to indicate that she is finally starting to consolidate some Millennial support behind her.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/clinton-announces-national-service-reserve-for-millennials-153311173.html
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Seriously?
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« Reply #21 on: October 01, 2016, 06:19:47 PM »

The one where she called Bernbots idealistic baristas that live in their parents' basement.
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heatcharger
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« Reply #22 on: October 01, 2016, 06:30:00 PM »

The one where she called Bernbots idealistic baristas that live in their parents' basement.

The right-wing concern trolling about this is hilarious.

"I can't believe Hillary tried to sympathize with millennials... we would've just called them lazy, pot-smoking socialists who live on the government dole!"

Looks like Trumpists are so demoralized with their candidate right now that they have to stir up drama among former Sanders supporters.
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PresidentSamTilden
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« Reply #23 on: October 01, 2016, 06:38:36 PM »

She's running behind Obama with this group, but still doing enough to win the election. Worth saying though that in 2016, Obama may have struggled as well. A lot of the young guys and gals (18-24) are super left, and the big democrat politicians don't appeal to them.

You know who's really failing with this group, though? Trump and the Republicans. Shouldn't you be concerned that, like, 75% of young voters consider your candidate and platform a joke? Nah, white nationalism, trickle down, and climate denial to the grave, I guess...
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NOVA Green
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« Reply #24 on: November 17, 2016, 08:45:14 PM »

Bump....

So it appears the Clinton managed to succeed in losing White Millennial voters to Trump, which was a demographic group that Obama won in 2008, and I believe 2012 as well....

Additionally, voter turnout in this age group appears to have dropped, and add on top of that a significant defection to 3rd Party candidates and write-in votes (Bernie, Romney, McMullen???).

Discuss....
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