Latino Decisions: Hillary up 72-18 (Full Results Tomorrow)

[OneJ]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/780177411769937920

Hillary goes up by one point since the last poll.

*Trump should not be up in Colorado at this point.

[HAnnA MArin County]

Perhaps it's time for Trump to post a picture of him having a plate of enchiladas or burritos while expressing his love for the Mexican people.

[Xing]

Either these polls of Latinos are wrong, or public polls in states with a large Latino population are missing something. This number suggests that Trump can't be tied with Hillary in CO, or ahead in FL and NV (oops, I'm not allowed to suggest polls could be off in that state, I have to believe the polls no matter what. Sorry, forgot.)

[ag]

It might all be consistent. I am afraid, white males will go off the deep end en masse.

[StatesPoll]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/780177411769937920

Hillary goes up by one point since the last poll.

*Trump should not be up in Colorado at this point.

I really don't get it, why red avatars overvalue 'Hispanic power' in Colorado so much?

1. Only 14% voters in Colorado were hispanic in 2012(Exit Poll)
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CO/president/

2. Hisapnics in Colorado almost didn't increase during 2010->2015
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045215/08/accessible
2010: 20.7% -> 2015: 21.3%.
just 0.6%(considering low turnouts & low reg % of Hispanics. it could be even lower than 0.6%.)

3. Hillary is not Obama. She is not attractive to Hispanics as Obama did.
I doubt of Hispanic vote shares could reach 14% in 2016.(lower turnouts %)
plus, White HS+Some college voter's turnouts would be ↑↑↑↑

White College grad+  voters save Hillary in colorado. <- it's possible scenario.
but Hispanics? I don't think so.

[ag]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/780177411769937920

Hillary goes up by one point since the last poll.

*Trump should not be up in Colorado at this point.

I really don't get it, why red avatars overvalue 'Hispanic power' in Colorado so much?

1. Only 14% voters in Colorado were hispanic in 2012(Exit Poll)
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CO/president/

2. Hisapnics in Colorado almost didn't increase during 2010->2015
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045215/08/accessible
2010: 20.7% -> 2015: 21.3%.
just 0.6%(considering low turnouts & low reg % of Hispanics. it could be even lower than 0.6%.)

3. Hillary is not Obama. She is not attractive to Hispanics as Obama did.
I doubt of Hispanic vote shares could reach 14% in 2016.(lower turnouts %)
plus, White HS+Some college voter's turnouts would be ↑↑↑↑

White College grad+  voters save Hillary in colorado. <- it's possible scenario.
but Hispanics? I don't think so.

You are right in noting that Hispanics are but a minority in Colorado - and a minority that does not vote too much.

But on other matters you are somewhat off. Obama was not at all particularly attractive to Hispanics back in 2008 (and only somewhat better in 2012). He is the first black president - not the first Hispanic president. And, by default, the two groups do not particularly identify with each other. He got most of the Hispanic vote because he had a D next to his name - and Republicans, increasingly, are viewed as the anti-Hispanic party. There is nothing particularly special about him that HRC lacks in this respect.  But Trump is truly special here: neither Romney, nor McCain generated nearly as much of a personal antipathy among the Hispanics as Trump does.

[ag]

https://mobile.twitter.com/LatinoDecisions/status/780177411769937920

Hillary goes up by one point since the last poll.

*Trump should not be up in Colorado at this point.

I really don't get it, why red avatars overvalue 'Hispanic power' in Colorado so much?

1. Only 14% voters in Colorado were hispanic in 2012(Exit Poll)
http://www.cnn.com/election/2012/results/state/CO/president/

2. Hisapnics in Colorado almost didn't increase during 2010->2015
https://www.census.gov/quickfacts/table/PST045215/08/accessible
2010: 20.7% -> 2015: 21.3%.
just 0.6%(considering low turnouts & low reg % of Hispanics. it could be even lower than 0.6%.)

3. Hillary is not Obama. She is not attractive to Hispanics as Obama did.
I doubt of Hispanic vote shares could reach 14% in 2016.(lower turnouts %)
plus, White HS+Some college voter's turnouts would be ↑↑↑↑

White College grad+  voters save Hillary in colorado. <- it's possible scenario.
but Hispanics? I don't think so.

You are right in noting that Hispanics are but a minority in Colorado - and a minority that does not vote too much.

But on other matters you are somewhat off. Obama was not at all particularly attractive to Hispanics back in 2008 (and only somewhat better in 2012). He is the first black president - not the first Hispanic president. And, by default, the two groups do not particularly identify with each other. He got most of the Hispanic vote because he had a D next to his name - and Republicans, increasingly, are viewed as the anti-Hispanic party. There is nothing particularly special about him that HRC lacks in this respect.  But Trump is truly special here: neither Romney, nor McCain generated nearly as much of a personal antipathy among the Hispanics as Trump does.