ME splitting its EV
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  ME splitting its EV
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Poll
Question: What are the chances of ME splitting its electoral vote?
#1
>90%
 
#2
75% to 90%
 
#3
50% to 75%
 
#4
<50%
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 61

Author Topic: ME splitting its EV  (Read 531 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« on: September 28, 2016, 02:35:27 PM »

Whatcha think?
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cinyc
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« Reply #1 on: September 28, 2016, 02:38:24 PM »

I'll believe it when I see it.  Until then, <50%.
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JMT
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« Reply #2 on: September 28, 2016, 02:44:05 PM »

I voted 50-75%. 2nd district polls have all seemed to favor Trump thus far
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #3 on: September 28, 2016, 02:44:08 PM »

https://twitter.com/ElectProject/status/781138554290335744

Michael McDonald seems to resigned to accept that Maine will split its vote.
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MasterJedi
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« Reply #4 on: September 28, 2016, 02:45:18 PM »

Depends, I still think it'll be <50% when everyone goes out and votes and shows up at the polls. Probably closer than normal, Trump can get mid-upper 40s but I don't think he'll carry it.
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mencken
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« Reply #5 on: September 28, 2016, 02:48:19 PM »


No wise man has the power to reason away (Maine splitting its Electoral College votes)
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #6 on: September 28, 2016, 02:54:59 PM »

About 3 or 4 months ago, I made a comment in where I predicted that who ever wins ME-02 will probably win the election.
I hope my premonition is wrong.
Having said that, trump does have a small chance of carrying ME-02. So my vote is about 50-55%.
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KingSweden
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« Reply #7 on: September 28, 2016, 03:28:01 PM »

The preponderance of evidence is that right now, if the election was held today, Trump would win ME-2. Will that hold on 11/8? I have my doubts, but Trump certainly has a better shot at it than I would have thought 6 months ago.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: September 28, 2016, 03:30:33 PM »
« Edited: September 28, 2016, 10:42:29 PM by Titanium R Nevada »

If the polls are to be believed, Trump has about 2:1 odds of winning ME-02 at this moment. If Hillary's position improves, her odds of winning ME-02 likely will as well.
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #9 on: September 28, 2016, 06:04:13 PM »

I'll believe it when I see it.
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Senator-elect Spark
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« Reply #10 on: September 28, 2016, 10:24:27 PM »

75% - 90%
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