IA-Loras College: Blum and Young both favored.

[Heisenberg]

Loras College (B- on 538, D+1.1 average bias) polled the two competitive Iowa House races.

IA-01:
Rod Blum (R, inc.): 45%
Monica Vernon (D): 38%
Undecided: 16%
Statistics: 368 likely voters, MOE:+/- 5.1 percent

IA-03:
David Young (R, inc.): 46%
Jim Mowrer (D): 36%
Undecided: 15%
Statistics: 327 likely voters, MOE:+/- 5.4 percent

Clinton also leads Trump 42-33 in the 1st district.
Full findings here

[Bismarck]

Loras is not great but still good numbers here, especially since they showed Trump tied in the state.

[Xing]

I'll buy a D+5 district going Republican by this much in a presidential year when I see it.

[Ebsy]

Blum will lose.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Blum will lose.

[mencken]

I'll buy a D+5 district going Republican by this much in a presidential year when I see it.

Given Iowa's trend this election it will probably vote like a D+1 or D+2 district in November.

[The Arizonan]

I have a gut feeling that Rod Blum is going to win by a very thin margin.

[Xing]

I'll buy a D+5 district going Republican by this much in a presidential year when I see it.

Given Iowa's trend this election it will probably vote like a D+1 or D+2 district in November.

That could be, but Blum winning by high single digits still seems like a stretch. As I said, I'll believe it when I see it.