PPP National: Clinton +4

[afleitch]

Reversion to the mean. Though the debate probably stopped Obama winning a little bigger than he ended up.

[afleitch]

Seriously... how is this election even close with numbers like that:

African Americans:

Clinton 81
Johnson 7
McMullin 3
Stein 2
Trump 2

Hispanics:

Clinton 62
Johnson 17
Trump 16

That's an EXTREMELY good question

[afleitch]

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/2015/PPP_Release_National_92916.pdf

One thing is for sure, PPP thinks this election is going to be 53% female and 47% male. All 6 polls adjusted to that. D+7, not D+6 as I thought.

The electorate was 53% female in 2012 and 2008. 54% female in 2004, 52% female in 2000, 53% in 1996, 54% in 1992, 52% in 1988....

I think it's pretty safe to say it's going to be between 52-54% this year. It's the only demographic you can actually safely model way in advance.