Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll Thread 11/7 - Clinton + 2
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Author Topic: Rasmussen Daily Tracking Poll Thread 11/7 - Clinton + 2  (Read 26532 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #100 on: October 21, 2016, 07:42:51 AM »
Quote from: BoAtlantis on October 20, 2016, 07:49:17 PM
Quote from: Fusionmunster on October 20, 2016, 12:01:07 PM
Quote from: rob in cal on October 20, 2016, 11:57:27 AM
   How did Rasmussen end up on election eve in 2012, and also 2014 with Senate races?

They had Romney +1 in 2012 and were terrible in 2014, but so was everyone else.

They were only Romney +1 because Rasmussen is a notorious herder.
Herder? With these numbers?
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #101 on: October 21, 2016, 07:45:52 AM »
Quote from: @realJohnEwards on October 21, 2016, 07:42:51 AM
Quote from: BoAtlantis on October 20, 2016, 07:49:17 PM
Quote from: Fusionmunster on October 20, 2016, 12:01:07 PM
Quote from: rob in cal on October 20, 2016, 11:57:27 AM
   How did Rasmussen end up on election eve in 2012, and also 2014 with Senate races?

They had Romney +1 in 2012 and were terrible in 2014, but so was everyone else.

They were only Romney +1 because Rasmussen is a notorious herder.
Herder? With these numbers?

Wasn't Romney ahead in the national RCP average pretty much from the first debate to a couple days before the election?
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #102 on: October 21, 2016, 07:48:55 AM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on October 20, 2016, 07:47:29 PM
Nate Silver was the star of 2012, but Rasmussen was the star of 2008.  They called the race the closest, and even called the iffiest Obama states, particularly NC.

I have a tough time believing Trump's ahead at this point, but I doubt Clinton's ahead as much as some thing.  I remember in 1996 how everyone was predicting a double-digit Clinton win.  It was a disappointment that Bill only won with 49% of the vote when polling showed a bigger lead over and over again.

Its basically Rasmussen vs everyone else but your free to side with Rasmussen.
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ag
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« Reply #103 on: October 21, 2016, 07:55:18 AM »
It is not just Rasmussen. The three trackers are very similar. Perhaps, they are similarly wrong. But I am not going to sleep easily until this election is over.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #104 on: October 21, 2016, 07:56:39 AM »
Quote from: Fuzzy Bear on October 20, 2016, 07:47:29 PM
Nate Silver was the star of 2012, but Rasmussen was the star of 2008.  They called the race the closest, and even called the iffiest Obama states, particularly NC.

I have a tough time believing Trump's ahead at this point, but I doubt Clinton's ahead as much as some thing.  I remember in 1996 how everyone was predicting a double-digit Clinton win.  It was a disappointment that Bill only won with 49% of the vote when polling showed a bigger lead over and over again.
Dole was not the one-man Dem turnout machine that Trump will be... sorry.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #105 on: October 21, 2016, 07:57:50 AM »
Quote from: ag on October 21, 2016, 07:55:18 AM
It is not just Rasmussen. The three trackers are very similar. Perhaps, they are similarly wrong. But I am not going to sleep easily until this election is over.

We know why L.A times is the way it is, hence we can exclude it. IBD is garbage and will align with the other pollsters come election day, just like the last 4 presidential cycles(not joking, they do this every time)
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #106 on: October 25, 2016, 07:38:18 AM »
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct25 Clinton takes a 1 point lead, Trump  has now lost the lead in every single tracking poll.
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #107 on: October 25, 2016, 07:41:22 AM »
WOOOOOOOOOOOO

Time to bust this out again:
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Person Man
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« Reply #108 on: October 25, 2016, 07:51:14 AM »
Quote from: Castro on October 25, 2016, 07:41:22 AM
WOOOOOOOOOOOO

Time to bust this out again:
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #109 on: October 26, 2016, 07:53:58 AM »
10/23-10/25: Clinton still +1

Clinton - 44% (+1)
Trump - 43% (+1)
Johnson - 4% (-1), New Low
Stein - 1% (-1)
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #110 on: October 27, 2016, 07:44:21 AM »
10/24-10/26
Clinton - 45 (+1)
Trump - 44 (+1)
Johnson - 4 (+/-)
Stein - 1 (+/-)
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #111 on: October 28, 2016, 08:29:07 AM »
10/25-10/29

Clinton    45 (+/-)
Trump     45 (+1)
Johnson     3 (-1)
Stein         2 (+1)

In Rasmussen we trust!
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #112 on: October 31, 2016, 08:01:01 AM »
10/26-10/30: Clinton +3

Clinton - 45%
Trump - 42%
Johnson - 5%
Stein - 2%

#ComeyBump

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_oct31
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #113 on: October 31, 2016, 08:03:09 AM »

So, she gained?? LOL
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #114 on: October 31, 2016, 08:06:37 AM »

She stayed even, but Trump dropped 3.
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #115 on: October 31, 2016, 08:09:17 AM »
I think we found Atlas dems new favorite pollster Wink
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The Other Castro
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« Reply #116 on: October 31, 2016, 08:10:46 AM »
Quote from: Senator dfwlibertylover on October 31, 2016, 08:09:17 AM
I think we found Atlas dems new favorite pollster Wink

Here's the problem in that logic: Atlas Dems will always think everything is doomed.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #117 on: October 31, 2016, 08:18:31 AM »

Even better than I expected!
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Gass3268
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« Reply #118 on: October 31, 2016, 08:27:27 AM »
Quote from: Senator dfwlibertylover on October 31, 2016, 08:09:17 AM
I think we found Atlas dems new favorite pollster Wink

Nah
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #119 on: October 31, 2016, 08:51:44 AM »
They better not expect to get linked to on Drudge with these numbers.
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jaichind
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« Reply #120 on: October 31, 2016, 12:47:20 PM »
Same poll has Obama approval at +10 which I guess is plausible but I think it is at the edge of plausible.  For Trump to be -3 in an electorate that is +10 for Obama approval is quite a feat for him even if it means defeat.   
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #121 on: November 01, 2016, 07:50:43 AM »
Rassy is back... http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov1

Clinton 44 (-1)
Trump  44 (+2)
Johnson 5 (-)
Stein     2  (-)  
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #122 on: November 01, 2016, 08:41:26 AM »
Well, the last week of this campaign should be pretty crazy.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #123 on: November 02, 2016, 07:49:02 AM »
(Rasmussen Reports 10/30-11/1)
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections/election_2016/white_house_watch_nov2

Hillary Clinton   44%   
Donald Trump   44%   
Gary Johnson     5%   
Jill Stein             2%   
Some other         2%   
Not sure             4%   


Lol. Both ABC, IBD and Rasmussen are showing tie today. Herding?
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #124 on: November 02, 2016, 07:50:13 AM »
Numbers unchanged again today, IBD/TIPP, ABC, and Rasmussen now all show a tie.
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