Blue collar whites are not registering at high levels, Hispanics may be surging
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  Blue collar whites are not registering at high levels, Hispanics may be surging
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Author Topic: Blue collar whites are not registering at high levels, Hispanics may be surging  (Read 673 times)
Gass3268
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« on: September 29, 2016, 01:20:08 PM »

The great blue collar white voter awakening has not been happen

But it might be happening in the Hispanic community
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1 on: September 29, 2016, 01:32:27 PM »

Nothing spells "mandate" like T-E-X-A-S.
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Sprouts Farmers Market ✘
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« Reply #2 on: September 29, 2016, 01:36:47 PM »

Nothing spells "mandate" like T-E-X-A-S.

Not going to happen, but I think TX will be closer than MO and maybe even SC.

Yep, and the good news out of all of this is that the Republicans may never win another election again post-Trump. We can't stop winning!
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Erc
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #3 on: September 29, 2016, 01:41:51 PM »

Nothing spells "mandate" like T-E-X-A-S.

Not going to happen, but I think TX will be closer than MO and maybe even SC.

I agree it's a stretch, but I'd say (barring Alaska hijinks) it's likely her best pickup opportunity beyond the usual NC/GA/AZ/NE-2 tier.
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HillOfANight
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« Reply #4 on: September 29, 2016, 02:14:09 PM »

https://twitter.com/hodgesmr/status/781209867373711361

Also a big surge from Facebook's 9/23 drive.

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Virginiá
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« Reply #5 on: September 29, 2016, 02:23:40 PM »
« Edited: September 29, 2016, 02:26:59 PM by Virginia »


Alabama is surging!

It's a shame Republican-controlled states like Wisconsin, Ohio and Florida have dragged their feet on online voter registration. They could have seen their own surges. We will have to wait until 2017-2018 for those states to go digital (enacted in all 3 already, but not active yet)
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Ebsy
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« Reply #6 on: September 29, 2016, 02:25:30 PM »

Can't wait for the Colorado voter registration data on the first.
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Southern Delegate matthew27
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« Reply #7 on: September 29, 2016, 02:32:42 PM »

I'll predict  that hispanics will make up 11 or 11.5% of the electorate compared to 10% in 2012. They're angry and will come out in record numbers.
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Xing
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« Reply #8 on: September 29, 2016, 02:33:55 PM »

I'm sure this has no bearing on NV. Wink This shouldn't be surprising, though. Clinton has better organization, and this is where her organization can give her a very real advantage.
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Virginiá
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« Reply #9 on: September 29, 2016, 02:38:26 PM »

I'll predict  that hispanics will make up 11 or 11.5% of the electorate compared to 10% in 2012. They're angry and will come out in record numbers.

Well just from population growth alone, they are already expected to make up roughly 11% of the electorate, regardless of a surge in turnout. If they were to actually get up and vote en masse this election, a 12%+ share might be possible. A 5 - 6 point increase in turnout, which is doable given their current abysmal levels, puts them close to 12%.
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Angel of Death
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« Reply #10 on: September 29, 2016, 02:41:59 PM »

Nothing spells "mandate" like T-E-X-A-S.

Yeah, because Dubya acted so humbly with his -0.5 margin of victory.

Moral: If you have power, USE it, or you'll end up like the UK Liberal Democrats.
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #11 on: September 29, 2016, 02:48:49 PM »

I'll predict  that hispanics will make up 11 or 11.5% of the electorate compared to 10% in 2012. They're angry and will come out in record numbers.

Well just from population growth alone, they are already expected to make up roughly 11% of the electorate, regardless of a surge in turnout. If they were to actually get up and vote en masse this election, a 12%+ share might be possible. A 5 - 6 point increase in turnout, which is doable given their current abysmal levels, puts them close to 12%.

If that happens, it would be super-impressive.
Let's hope.
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Person Man
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« Reply #12 on: September 29, 2016, 02:50:12 PM »

Can't wait for the Colorado voter registration data on the first.
Democrats have already passed the Republicans in gross numbers...
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All Along The Watchtower
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« Reply #13 on: September 29, 2016, 03:14:43 PM »

"Blue collar" whites =/= Trump's base.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #14 on: September 29, 2016, 03:35:09 PM »

Can't wait for the Colorado voter registration data on the first.
Democrats have already passed the Republicans in gross numbers...
I suspect that they might pass the GOP in Active voters as well.
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