FL-OpinionSavvy: Clinton +1 (user search)
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  FL-OpinionSavvy: Clinton +1 (search mode)
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Author Topic: FL-OpinionSavvy: Clinton +1  (Read 1768 times)
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ExtremeRepublican
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« on: September 30, 2016, 10:47:31 AM »

The crosstabs have Trump winning voters under 30(!):

Trump 48%
Clinton 39%
Johnson 8%
Stein 4%

They’ve also got Trump with 33% of blacks and 52% of Hispanics.  In fact, while they have him over 50% among Hispanics, he’s under 50% among whites.


I really do wonder if 1) pollsters are vastly underestimating Latino turnout and 2) oversampling Trump's support among this group.

But, there have been a ton of polls, both nationally and in individual states, with age gaps that look very different than 2012.  I could see an argument for a smaller age gap- largely due to 65+ voters trending Democratic because of a dislike of Trump not being a normal candidate and under 30 voters voting at lower rates, more for third parties, and some "Trump-Sanders" swing voters.
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