Hoffman: Clinton +12 in OR
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Author Topic: Hoffman: Clinton +12 in OR  (Read 1566 times)
Ozymandias
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« on: October 03, 2016, 09:00:43 PM »
http://res.cloudinary.com/bdy4ger4/image/upload/v1475532480/HOFFMAN_0916_SURVEY_REPORT_mdltu9.pdf

Clinton 45
Trump 33
Johnson 8
Stein 3

9/29 - 10/1, 605 LV
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heatcharger
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« Reply #1 on: October 03, 2016, 09:03:06 PM »
This pollster has a B- rating on 538 with an R+0.2 bias, but it looks about right. Why didn't they poll the Senate or Gubernatorial races?
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Ebsy
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« Reply #2 on: October 03, 2016, 09:08:26 PM »
Who?
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #3 on: October 03, 2016, 09:38:35 PM »
Seems about right.
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TheDeadFlagBlues
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« Reply #4 on: October 03, 2016, 09:43:07 PM »
The same pollster showed Obama up by 5 points in Oregon in 2012 in late October...

Oregon is going to be a blowout, folks!
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Doimper
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« Reply #5 on: October 03, 2016, 09:45:52 PM »
Oh, you stuck that "in OR" on the end. I saw "Hoffman: Clinton +12. . .) and got excited.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #6 on: October 03, 2016, 09:49:50 PM »
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on October 03, 2016, 09:45:52 PM
Oh, you stuck that "in OR" on the end. I saw "Hoffman: Clinton +12. . .) and got excited.

Sorry-- but, then again, if it were a national poll, a C+12 margin would have been too high not to be dismissed as an outlier, so at least this one counts Wink
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Doimper
Doctor Imperialism
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« Reply #7 on: October 03, 2016, 09:52:44 PM »
Quote from: Ozymandias on October 03, 2016, 09:49:50 PM
Quote from: Doctor Imperialism on October 03, 2016, 09:45:52 PM
Oh, you stuck that "in OR" on the end. I saw "Hoffman: Clinton +12. . .) and got excited.

Sorry-- but, then again, if it were a national poll, a C+12 margin would have been too high not to be dismissed as an outlier, so at least this one counts Wink

We did have that C+15 Marist poll during the peak of her post-convention bump. Good times.
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Alaska2392
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« Reply #8 on: October 03, 2016, 10:05:33 PM »
« Edited: October 03, 2016, 10:07:54 PM by NRS11 »
Poll seems to be about what I would expect, especially given 2012 margin of victory and current national polling.

Is it typical for Dem candidate to only get 69% of vote in Multnomah?

Also - "Younger Democrats" give Jill Stein 21% of the vote.  Not really that surprising, but such a Pacific NW thing to do.
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dspNY
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« Reply #9 on: October 03, 2016, 10:14:07 PM »
Quote from: NRS11 on October 03, 2016, 10:05:33 PM
Poll seems to be about what I would expect, especially given 2012 margin of victory and current national polling.

Is it typical for Dem candidate to only get 69% of vote in Multnomah?

Also - "Younger Democrats" give Jill Stein 21% of the vote.  Not really that surprising, but such a Pacific NW thing to do.

Obama won Multnomah (Portland) 75-20 in 2012. Clinton leads 69-19 in Multnomah according to this poll so that is pretty close to what you would expect from a Democrat who is not viewed as well as Obama among Oregonians. It's a good result for her
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #10 on: October 03, 2016, 10:22:26 PM »
I never have been worried about Oregon. Safe D.
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