NV/FL/AZ- Emerson: Heck +4, Rubio +8, McCain +16

[MT Treasurer]

Nevada
45% Joe Heck (R)
41% Catherine Cortez Masto (D)

Florida
47% Marco Rubio (R, inc.)
39% Patrick Murphy (D)

Arizona
52% John McCain (R, inc.)
36% Ann Kirkpatrick (D)

Link.

[Heisenberg]

Rubio up 8 is encouraging. He overperforms Trump by 7, which should be enough. Hopefully he'll begin to pull away like Portman. Heck overperforms Trump by 4, more when taking into account Stein gets 3, and she's not on the ballot.

[Vosem]

These are nice but they're also Emerson. They come from a world where simultaneous victories for Darryl Glenn and Jason Kander are possible. No reason to put too much stock in this.