2016: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey vs. Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman

[White Trash]

Former Senator Mary Landrieu takes the Democratic nomination and faces Mark Kirk and Joe Lieberman. Who wins in this strange election? Discuss with maps.

[evergreenarbor]

After accepting the nomination, Mark Kirk renames the GOP: Republicans Introducing National Order, or RINO. Mary Landrieu renames the Democrats: Democrats Imagining New Opportunities, or DINO.

Sen. Mark Kirk (RINO-IL)/Former Sen. Joe Lieberman (RINO-CT): 48%, 383 EVs
Former Sen. Mary Landrieu (DINO-LA)/Sen. Bob Casey (DINO-PA): 46%, 155 EVs
Former Gov. Gary Johnson (L-NM)/Former Gov. Bill Weld (L-MA): 3%, 0 EVs
Physician Jill Stein (G-MA)/Activist Ajamu Baraka (G-GA): 3%, 0 EVs

Just for fun, the trend map:

[Kingpoleon]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Republicans:
Strong: college educated whites, upper income minorities, non-low income male minorities
Lean: white women, middle class minorities(Jews, Protestants)
Democrats:
Strong: non college educated, low income
Lean: non college educated white men, working class minorities(Catholics, Lutherans, Anglicans)

I think Landrieu probably wins the female vote by two to five percent. I'm guessing Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut are probably the main swing states.

[White Trash]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Republicans:
Strong: college educated whites, upper income minorities, non-low income male minorities
Lean: white women, middle class minorities(Jews, Protestants)
Democrats:
Strong: non college educated, low income
Lean: non college educated white men, working class minorities(Catholics, Lutherans, Anglicans)

I think Landrieu probably wins the female vote by two to five percent. I'm guessing Indiana, Iowa, Illinois, Delaware, New Jersey, Pennsylvania, and Connecticut are probably the main swing states.

Surprised that the Dems win Ohio and Pennsylvania without Michigan and Iowa.

[Kingpoleon]

Kirk's Midwestern appeal should probably help him in those states, especially if the college educated people in big cities turn out enough for him.

[White Trash]

Kirk's Midwestern appeal should probably help him in those states, especially if the college educated people in big cities turn out enough for him.

Non-college educated white voters seem to be a pretty dominant force in Michigan and Iowa. So I'm not sure if Kirk is enough to swing those states.

[Heisenberg]

After accepting the nomination, Mark Kirk renames the GOP: Republicans Introducing National Order, or RINO. Mary Landrieu renames the Democrats: Democrats Imagining New Occasions, or DINO.

I think Democrats Imagining New Opportunities would be a better name, but that's just me.

[evergreenarbor]

After accepting the nomination, Mark Kirk renames the GOP: Republicans Introducing National Order, or RINO. Mary Landrieu renames the Democrats: Democrats Imagining New Occasions, or DINO.

I think Democrats Imagining New Opportunities would be a better name, but that's just me.

Good point. I was struggling with the acronyms for some reason.

[RC (a la Frémont)]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Your map is basically 1924 +Dems winning Ohio - Independent winning Wisconsin.

[Kingpoleon]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Your map is basically 1924 +Dems winning Ohio - Independent winning Wisconsin.

+Dems winning MO, KY, WV, PA, MD, NM, MA, RI
+GOP winning Alaska and Hawaii

[RC (a la Frémont)]

277: Mark Kirk/Joe Lieberman - 44.8%
261: Mary Landrieu/Bob Casey - 45.0%
Evan McMullin/David French - 4.7%
Thom Hartmann/David Cobb - 4.1%
Others - 1.4%

Your map is basically 1924 +Dems winning Ohio - Independent winning Wisconsin.

+Dems winning MO, KY, WV, PA, MD, NM, MA, RI
+GOP winning Alaska and Hawaii

True, I forgot about that.