Who'll win Morris County, New Jersey?
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  Who'll win Morris County, New Jersey?
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Question: Who'll win Morris County, New Jersey?
#1
Hillary Clinton
 
#2
Donald Trump
 
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Total Voters: 28

Author Topic: Who'll win Morris County, New Jersey?  (Read 731 times)
Suburbia
bronz4141
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« on: October 07, 2016, 05:19:17 PM »

Who will win this wealthy-leaning white Republican county, that has voted for a Republican in a long time? Where is Trump's best areas? Clinton's best areas?

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Morris_County,_New_Jersey
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #1 on: October 07, 2016, 05:51:10 PM »

Ooh I live there! Honestly, not sure. It's an incredibly ancestrally Republican, thought in recent years become slightly less so, with Romney winning 55-45. But it is also very wealthy and very educated, with many white collar NYC workers living here, a demographic Trump has tanked with as of late. Gun to my head I'd say about 51% Trump, but I could easily see it being a narrow Clinton edge. Clinton will definitely win the (uncharacteristic for the county) heavily Hispanic towns of Dover, Morristown, Wharton, and Victory Gardens as well as the heavily-Indian town of Parsippany, traditionally a swing town, in addition to Madison and Morris Township. If she's winning the county she will likely take Boonton Town, Rockaway Township and Borough, and Mountain Lakes too, plus possibly Denville, and make it a lot closer than usual in the uber-uber-UBER wealthy towns like Randolph, Mendham Township/Borough, and Roxbury.
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #2 on: October 07, 2016, 06:00:19 PM »

Why do you care about New Jersey so much?
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Pragmatic Conservative
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« Reply #3 on: October 07, 2016, 06:00:38 PM »

Hillary Clinton 47%
Donald Trump 45%
Other 8%
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #4 on: October 07, 2016, 06:11:42 PM »

Why do you care about New Jersey so much?

I live in NJ. It's important. I see more Trump signs than Clinton ones for a blue state. I see Trump signs in Newark and Orange.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #5 on: October 07, 2016, 11:28:23 PM »

Clinton is leading with fundraising in Morris County. She's even leading in fundraising in Christie's hometown, Mendham.

http://www.njspotlight.com/stories/16/10/06/interactive-map-clinton-far-outpaces-trump-in-new-jersey-fundraising/
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #6 on: October 07, 2016, 11:57:47 PM »

Trump will definitely perform worse than Romney, but doubtful that he loses.
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hopper
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2016, 02:43:13 PM »

Probably Hillary will win it by a few points.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2016, 02:43:59 PM »

Clinton has it now
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hopper
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2016, 02:48:38 PM »

Yeah Trump's 2005 comments about women probably win Morris County for Hillary. 
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2016, 02:55:34 PM »

Probably Hillary will win it by a few points.

Won't Christie and the Bucco machine say something about that?
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cinyc
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2016, 07:58:22 PM »

Here's the 2012 Nationwide PVI Map for towns in Morris County, NJ.  The red unlabeled town encircled by Morris Township is Morristown:



Parsippany-Troy Hills is in white because its PVI is exactly Even.

You can see PVI county maps of all 50 states and town maps for 10 or so states here.
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International Brotherhood of Bernard
interstate73
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2016, 10:54:56 PM »

Anecdotal, and signs don't vote, but driving through Randolph Township today (53% Romney) I saw 5 Hillary signs and precisely 1 Trump sign...
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