In how many states will Trump win the female vote?
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  In how many states will Trump win the female vote?
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Question: In how many states will Trump win the female vote?
#1
Zero.
 
#2
1-5
 
#3
5-10
 
#4
10+
 
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Total Voters: 44

Author Topic: In how many states will Trump win the female vote?  (Read 1079 times)
Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« on: October 08, 2016, 07:14:25 PM »

Also, for our general entertainment, post electoral maps of the female vote.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #1 on: October 08, 2016, 07:15:35 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.
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Xing
xingkerui
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« Reply #2 on: October 08, 2016, 07:20:44 PM »

Idaho, Wyoming, Oklahoma, Alabama, Arkansas, Tennessee, Kentucky, and West Virginia.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #3 on: October 08, 2016, 07:22:31 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

You mean the Dakotas, right?


Nope. I do mean the Carolinas.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #4 on: October 08, 2016, 07:25:05 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

You mean the Dakotas, right?


Nope. I do mean the Carolinas.

Trump wouldn't win the female vote in NC even if he won the state...
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #5 on: October 08, 2016, 07:28:20 PM »

Texas has quite a few female nevertrumps.

Idaho, Wyoming, Nebraska, Kansas, Oklahoma, Arkansas, Tennessee, Alabama, Kentucky and West Virginia would be my guesses.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #6 on: October 08, 2016, 07:28:44 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

You mean the Dakotas, right?


Nope. I do mean the Carolinas.

I'd be shocked if Trump won the female vote in North Carolina. He's also likely not going to win it in SC, MS and TX.
Trump will likely win the White female vote in Mississippi and South Carolina. Black women will likely make him lose women at-large, though.
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #7 on: October 08, 2016, 07:30:11 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

You mean the Dakotas, right?


Nope. I do mean the Carolinas.

I'd be shocked if Trump won the female vote in North Carolina. He's also likely not going to win it in SC, MS and TX.
Trump will likely win the White female vote in Mississippi and South Carolina. Black women will likely make him lose women at-large, though.

Likely? Romney received 89% of the white female vote in Mississippi. I'm pretty sure the white female vote there is safe Trump.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #8 on: October 08, 2016, 07:37:06 PM »


They're mainly in the urban areas.
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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #9 on: October 08, 2016, 07:40:21 PM »

AL, OK, ID, KS, WV, and WY. Maybe MS and TN
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darthebearnc
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« Reply #10 on: October 08, 2016, 07:41:40 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

What?
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #11 on: October 08, 2016, 07:44:30 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

What?

Why say what?

It's not like I said CA, MD, HI, IL, NY, and MA.
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shua
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« Reply #12 on: October 08, 2016, 08:15:01 PM »

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Hermit For Peace
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« Reply #13 on: October 08, 2016, 08:17:24 PM »


What are those females thinking? Why would any of them vote for Trump?
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rafta_rafta
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« Reply #14 on: October 08, 2016, 08:18:03 PM »

White women? Or all women?
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #15 on: October 08, 2016, 08:28:45 PM »


This isn't far off from what I was thinking.


All women.
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #16 on: October 08, 2016, 08:31:02 PM »


What are those females thinking? Why would any of them vote for Trump?

Stockholm Syndrome
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AGA
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« Reply #17 on: October 08, 2016, 09:39:04 PM »

Many polls show that the gender gap is over 20 points, and that will likely grow due to the recent scandal. Assuming that gender gap is mostly even across the country, the map could look like this for female voters:



I could be very wrong with the percentages, though.

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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #18 on: October 08, 2016, 10:45:58 PM »

Assuming a gender gap of ~25 points:

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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #19 on: October 08, 2016, 11:00:38 PM »

Also let's not forget the opponent is female. This would help on the fence voters who are female.
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Fargobison
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« Reply #20 on: October 08, 2016, 11:05:14 PM »

5-10.

West Virginia, Alabama, Texas, Mississippi, Tennessee, and the Carolinas.

You mean the Dakotas, right?

HRC was +3 with women in an ND poll out a few weeks ago.
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egalitt
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« Reply #21 on: October 09, 2016, 08:01:50 AM »

He is sure to win in one state. This is my native state where I live. 
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