20% option (user search)
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 30, 2024, 07:36:16 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Election Predictions (Moderator: muon2)
  20% option (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 20% option  (Read 1710 times)
‼realJohnEwards‼
MatteKudasai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,867
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.19, S: -4.87

« on: October 21, 2016, 07:48:53 AM »

That seems really impractical. Even third parties and write-ins made up 40% of the vote, it would still be impossible for either Trump or Clinton to get less than 30%.

If Johnson and McMullin both strengthen as a result of Trump's implosion, the following is not inconceivable:

Trump 29%
Clinton 28%
Johnson 22%
McMullin 17%
Stein 3%
Others 1%

Before this latest problem, Clinton was already polling below 30% in Utah, Trump had been polling the mid- to upper-30's and both Johnson and McMullin had been polling above 10%.

Utah's developing into a four-way race, which is of course, the only way the winner could end up with less than 30% of the vote.

Today, I could see:

McMullin 29%
Trump 28%
Clinton 28%
Johnson 12%
Other 3%
Logged
Pages: [1]  
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.021 seconds with 12 queries.