Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Tennessee
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 10:41:57 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2016 U.S. Presidential Election
  Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Tennessee
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: Rate Tennessee and Predict Who Will Win
#1
Safe D
 
#2
Likely D
 
#3
Lean D
 
#4
Toss-Up
 
#5
Lean R
 
#6
Likely R
 
#7
Safe R
 
#8
Clinton
 
#9
Trump
 
#10
Other
 
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 67

Calculate results by number of options selected
Author Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Tennessee  (Read 1349 times)
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 09, 2016, 12:02:26 AM »

Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

Alabama Alaska Arizona Arkansas California Colorado Connecticut Delaware District of Columbia Florida Georgia Hawaii Idaho Illinois Indiana Iowa Kansas Kentucky Louisiana Maine ME-01 ME-02 Maryland Massachusetts Michigan Minnesota Mississippi Missouri Montana Nebraska NE-01 NE-02 NE-03 Nevada New Hampshire New Jersey New Mexico New York North Carolina North Dakota Ohio Oklahoma Oregon Pennsylvania Rhode Island South Carolina South Dakota

Ratings



Safe Clinton: 183
Likely Clinton: 22
Lean Clinton: 35
Toss-Up: 70
Lean Trump: 37
Likely Trump: 27
Safe Trump: 63

Clinton: 240
Trump: 127
Toss-Up: 70

Predictions



NE-02: Trump --> Clinton

Clinton: 292
Trump: 146

Tennessee: Safe R, 58-38 Trump.

Make all the changes necessary to any of the past threads, after what is likely to be a very bad downturn for Trump unless he turns it around after the debates.
Logged
Ronnie
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 7,993
United States
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 09, 2016, 12:06:19 AM »

This might be provocative, but I don't know if any state is safe for Trump anymore.  MicGate might have sunk him more than we think.  But he'll still probably win this one.

Likely R.
Logged
Gass3268
Moderators
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 27,478
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 09, 2016, 12:06:41 AM »

Safe Trump, but the margin is going to be embarrassing, probably only mid-low double digits.
Logged
evergreenarbor
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 864


Political Matrix
E: -6.77, S: -8.43

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 09, 2016, 12:07:25 AM »

Safe R.

Trump: 54%
Clinton: 40%
Johnson: 5%
Other: 1%
Logged
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,303
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 09, 2016, 12:11:08 AM »

Even if Trump really does suffer massive losses, I have an incredibly hard time believing that he won't hold down states like TN. Safe R, Trump wins 57-39 (that's assuming he loses some support, I would've said he'd win by over 20 last week.)
Logged
Tiger front
Rookie
**
Posts: 53
Czech Republic
Political Matrix
E: 2.19, S: 3.13

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 09, 2016, 03:58:33 AM »

One of last safe R states.

Trump 55%
Clinton 41%
Other 4%
Logged
peterthlee
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
China


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 09, 2016, 05:04:44 AM »

Safe R-Strong
Trump 54-42-4
Logged
President Johnson
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,592
Germany


Political Matrix
E: -3.23, S: -4.70


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 09, 2016, 05:44:12 AM »

Safe Republican.

Trump: 58%
Clinton: 37%
Logged
Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,329
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 09, 2016, 07:39:16 PM »

Safe R, Trump 57-40
Logged
15 Down, 35 To Go
ExtremeRepublican
Moderators
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,669


Political Matrix
E: 7.35, S: 5.57


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 10, 2016, 10:37:42 AM »

Safe R, 59-37 Trump

I was thinking we'd go over 60, but this last week has been a disaster
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 10, 2016, 11:04:16 AM »

Logged
peterthlee
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 568
China


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: December 16, 2016, 08:20:16 PM »

Wow, he won by 61-35-4 in the end. ExtremeRepublican's gut feeling proved to be right. Great!
Logged
Fuzzy Stands With His Friend, Chairman Sanchez
Fuzzy Bear
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 25,504
United States


WWW Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: December 17, 2016, 07:11:29 AM »

Tennessee is the kind of state that will be unshakably Republican at all levels, thanks to Obama:

1.  Its white population is very much of Scot-Irish descent.  These folks have the least "ethnic attachment" of any sub-group of whites, and have viewed themselves as "Americans", who are most turned off by "identity politics".

2.  It is an extremely religious state with a high level of churchgoers.

3.  Outside of its cities, it is primarily small towns, not suburbs.  One of its cities, Knoxville, is, and always has been, a Republican city.

Tennessee didn't have to be a GOP bastion, but the Democrats' shift to extreme cultural liberalism is what did them in.  They no longer have the attention of huge numbers of historically Democratic white voters in Middle and West Tennessee that were the party's base.

Good job, Democrats!
Logged
TomC
TCash101
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,973


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: December 17, 2016, 12:19:46 PM »

Statewide offices are still controlled by relatively moderate Republicans. Once the wing nuts start getting senate seats and the governorship, Dems will have some opportunity if they can get some skilled candidates. Not at the Presidential level though.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.073 seconds with 15 queries.