How big of a bounce will Clinton get after the Second debate?

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

How big of a bounce will Clinton get after the Second debate? Lets say RCP.... 1.5 points or up to 4.5% lead over Trump.

[Mike Thick]

Probably not much, but she doesn't need a huge bounce at the moment and definitely won't need it in the long run.

[Gass3268]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[Lachi]

How big of a bounce will Clinton get after the Second debate? Lets say RCP.... 1.5 points or up to 4.5% lead over Trump.

Wouldn't it be around 6 points, considering the RCP average is currently Clinton +4.6?

[Dr. Arch]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[IceSpear]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[Pragmatic Conservative]

Probably not much, but she doesn't need a huge bounce at the moment and definitely won't need it in the long run.

[Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[dspNY]

Her big bounce comes from Trump getting nuked by the Access Hollywood video. The debate just ensures that the bounce sticks

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

How big of a bounce will Clinton get after the Second debate? Lets say RCP.... 1.5 points or up to 4.5% lead over Trump.

Wouldn't it be around 6 points, considering the RCP average is currently Clinton +4.6?

I am using the 4 way, 3.2%

[Lyin' Steve]

I think Hillary will be at +6 or +7 by Friday.  Whether that's from the video or from the debate, hard to tell, I think it all just falls into a big amalgamation of "Trump is clearly unhinged, unapologetic about committing sexual assault and bragging about it, and going on full tilt as Republicans abandon him."

[KingSweden]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[ProudModerate2]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[Bismarck]

She won't get any bounce from the debate, but she will obviously get a bounce from hotmicgate.

[Roronoa D. Law]

The bounce should be enough to consistently lead in all swing state but Iowa. She will still come short in Georgia and Arizona. If they are polled more than once before the next debate.

[BlueSwan]

Just got up and will watch the debate very soon, but apparently the consensus seems to be that the debate was a draw. My pre-debate perception was that a draw would benefit Trump. People really just need an excuse to vote for Trump and they'll do it. But again, I haven't seen it yet and don't know if there are any clips that could be damaging to either candidate.

[ShamDam]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[ApatheticAustrian]

it wasn't a draw.

maybe a draw of expectations.

it helps trump with his own base...and hillary with everyone else.

[Mike Thick]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[Fusionmunster]

Just got up and will watch the debate very soon, but apparently the consensus seems to be that the debate was a draw. My pre-debate perception was that a draw would benefit Trump. People really just need an excuse to vote for Trump and they'll do it. But again, I haven't seen it yet and don't know if there are any clips that could be damaging to either candidate.

Thats not the consensus.

[MasterJedi]

The bounce will come from the tape, not so much the debate BUT the debate will help her not lose the lead.

[dspNY]

Just got up and will watch the debate very soon, but apparently the consensus seems to be that the debate was a draw. My pre-debate perception was that a draw would benefit Trump. People really just need an excuse to vote for Trump and they'll do it. But again, I haven't seen it yet and don't know if there are any clips that could be damaging to either candidate.

I think there's a loser stench starting to emanate from Trump when you look at what happened since the first debate and the CNN results on this second debate reinforce that. Once a candidate acquires the loser stench they are done and the undecideds actually break more towards the winner as part of an in-crowd effect. Not sure whether politics are similar in Denmark but that's how politics works sometimes here in the States

[Antonio the Sixth]

She'll get a bounce out of the video, which means we won't know what she (or he) would have gotten out of the debate.

[Hammy]

She won't.

[ursulahx]

She'll get a small bounce, but it'll be because of micgate not because of the debate.