2020 Libertarian Nomination
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 07:25:00 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2020 U.S. Presidential Election (Moderators: Likely Voter, YE)
  2020 Libertarian Nomination
« previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: 2020 Libertarian Nomination  (Read 1810 times)
Enduro
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 11, 2016, 01:25:21 PM »

Who do see winning? Who else runs?
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 11, 2016, 01:37:23 PM »

I've been routing for Austin Petersen, if he gets it that would push the LP into the 20%+ range for the general election.
Logged
sparkey
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,103


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: October 11, 2016, 03:35:44 PM »

We have one announced candidate, and he's popular among radicals: Adam Kokesh. 95+% chance he stays in.

Austin Petersen has said publicly that he'll considering running, but only if one of his "heroes" doesn't run. He named 3 "heroes": John Stossel, Andrew Napolitano, and Justin Amash. I doubt any of them run on the LP ticket (although Amash could make a long shot run at the GOP nod). So Austin Petersen is 50+% likely to run IMO.

In terms of other big names besides Petersen's heroes, I doubt Johnson, McAfee, Ventura, or Weld run. <5% chance on each.

We could get a random celebrity that nobody saw coming, too. Vince Vaughn? Drew Carey? Jimmy Wales? Krist Novoselic? Teller? Trey Parker? Mark Cuban? All are unlikely, but I wouldn't have predicted a McAfee '16 run either, and any of them could come out on top in a race against just Kokesh and maybe Petersen.

So, my prediction is a race featuring Kokesh vs. Petersen vs. a random surprise. Count me as undecided between Petersen and random surprise. A Kokesh run could get awful fast, and I doubt I could support him in the general.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #3 on: October 11, 2016, 04:06:31 PM »

Judd Weiss, Nicholas Sarwark, John Monds, Ruth Bennett, and Robert Sarvis. Monds has NAACP ties and Ruth Bennett has strong ties to the LGBT community.
Logged
sparkey
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,103


Political Matrix
E: 6.71, S: -7.30

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #4 on: October 11, 2016, 04:13:20 PM »


Noooo thanks.

Nicholas Sarwark, John Monds, Ruth Bennett, and Robert Sarvis.

Good LNC leadership lineup. Just needs Starchild.

For President though? I hope we get a bigger name.
Logged
America Needs R'hllor
Parrotguy
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 11,422
Israel


Political Matrix
E: -4.13, S: -3.48

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #5 on: October 11, 2016, 04:19:19 PM »

On a side note, if Weld would be younger I think that he would be a very solid choice that could bring the Libertarians a lot of new voters.
Logged
Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon
Dwarven Dragon
Atlas Politician
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 31,580
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.42, S: -0.52

P P P

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #6 on: October 11, 2016, 04:40:49 PM »

I've been routing for Austin Petersen, if he gets it that would push the LP into the 20%+ range for the general election.

Uh, why would 20% of the country vote for someone who is basically a random citizen? I could see him doing 2-3 points better than Johnson in the right climate due to his views on abortion, but 20% of the vote? ROFL ROFL ROFL
Logged
Enduro
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #7 on: October 11, 2016, 05:53:59 PM »

We have one announced candidate, and he's popular among radicals: Adam Kokesh. 95+% chance he stays in.

Austin Petersen has said publicly that he'll considering running, but only if one of his "heroes" doesn't run. He named 3 "heroes": John Stossel, Andrew Napolitano, and Justin Amash. I doubt any of them run on the LP ticket (although Amash could make a long shot run at the GOP nod). So Austin Petersen is 50+% likely to run IMO.

In terms of other big names besides Petersen's heroes, I doubt Johnson, McAfee, Ventura, or Weld run. <5% chance on each.

We could get a random celebrity that nobody saw coming, too. Vince Vaughn? Drew Carey? Jimmy Wales? Krist Novoselic? Teller? Trey Parker? Mark Cuban? All are unlikely, but I wouldn't have predicted a McAfee '16 run either, and any of them could come out on top in a race against just Kokesh and maybe Petersen.

So, my prediction is a race featuring Kokesh vs. Petersen vs. a random surprise. Count me as undecided between Petersen and random surprise. A Kokesh run could get awful fast, and I doubt I could support him in the general.

I pretty much agree with you, but I also see Sarvis making a run for it.
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #8 on: October 12, 2016, 03:36:48 AM »

We have one announced candidate, and he's popular among radicals: Adam Kokesh. 95+% chance he stays in.

Austin Petersen has said publicly that he'll considering running, but only if one of his "heroes" doesn't run. He named 3 "heroes": John Stossel, Andrew Napolitano, and Justin Amash. I doubt any of them run on the LP ticket (although Amash could make a long shot run at the GOP nod). So Austin Petersen is 50+% likely to run IMO.

In terms of other big names besides Petersen's heroes, I doubt Johnson, McAfee, Ventura, or Weld run. <5% chance on each.

We could get a random celebrity that nobody saw coming, too. Vince Vaughn? Drew Carey? Jimmy Wales? Krist Novoselic? Teller? Trey Parker? Mark Cuban? All are unlikely, but I wouldn't have predicted a McAfee '16 run either, and any of them could come out on top in a race against just Kokesh and maybe Petersen.

So, my prediction is a race featuring Kokesh vs. Petersen vs. a random surprise. Count me as undecided between Petersen and random surprise. A Kokesh run could get awful fast, and I doubt I could support him in the general.

I pretty much agree with you, but I also see Sarvis making a run for it.
Isn't that the guy who ran in VA for governor and wanted black boxes installed in vehicles, similar to a mileage tax?
Logged
Enduro
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,073


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2016, 07:11:41 PM »

We have one announced candidate, and he's popular among radicals: Adam Kokesh. 95+% chance he stays in.

Austin Petersen has said publicly that he'll considering running, but only if one of his "heroes" doesn't run. He named 3 "heroes": John Stossel, Andrew Napolitano, and Justin Amash. I doubt any of them run on the LP ticket (although Amash could make a long shot run at the GOP nod). So Austin Petersen is 50+% likely to run IMO.

In terms of other big names besides Petersen's heroes, I doubt Johnson, McAfee, Ventura, or Weld run. <5% chance on each.

We could get a random celebrity that nobody saw coming, too. Vince Vaughn? Drew Carey? Jimmy Wales? Krist Novoselic? Teller? Trey Parker? Mark Cuban? All are unlikely, but I wouldn't have predicted a McAfee '16 run either, and any of them could come out on top in a race against just Kokesh and maybe Petersen.

So, my prediction is a race featuring Kokesh vs. Petersen vs. a random surprise. Count me as undecided between Petersen and random surprise. A Kokesh run could get awful fast, and I doubt I could support him in the general.

I pretty much agree with you, but I also see Sarvis making a run for it.
Isn't that the guy who ran in VA for governor and wanted black boxes installed in vehicles, similar to a mileage tax?

Yeah, he's not libertarian, but he's popular in the party for some reason.
Logged
Kingpoleon
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 22,144
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2016, 08:10:53 PM »

He's as much a libertarian as Ed Clark and Carl Person are.
Logged
5280
MagneticFree
Sr. Member
****
Posts: 3,404
United States


Political Matrix
E: 6.97, S: -0.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #11 on: November 08, 2016, 03:27:40 PM »

I will say it again, Austin Petersen or even John McAfee.
Logged
Suburbia
bronz4141
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 19,684
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #12 on: November 08, 2016, 03:29:35 PM »

No Gary Johnson. Period.
Logged
ElectionsGuy
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 21,107
United States


Political Matrix
E: 7.10, S: -7.65

P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #13 on: November 08, 2016, 04:11:46 PM »

Petersen has a good chance. Would support him over Kokesh or any other radical candidate. Don't know anything else, but certainly:

Logged
Leinad
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,049
United States


Political Matrix
E: -7.03, S: -7.91

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #14 on: November 09, 2016, 03:28:10 AM »

I've been routing for Austin Petersen, if he gets it that would push the LP into the 20%+ range for the general election.

Depending on the other candidates I'll probably support Petersen, but I highly, highly doubt he'll do any better than Johnson did this year. Especially not double digits.

Weld would be interesting, but he's just...uh...not a libertarian. Tongue I like him a lot better than most mainstream politicians, but he's simply not an adherent to the party's ideology. Of course, we'll need to expand the base if we ever want to win anything, but Weld is simply too far to be the party's nominee. We need a pragmatic libertarian who can message their views to disaffected moderates, liberals, and conservatives. Three totally different groups of voters.

Does any person who can do that actually exist? Anywhere? And preferably someone who can be taken seriously as someone "qualified" to hold the office--although Trump may prove that isn't needed.
Logged
Atlas Has Shrugged
ChairmanSanchez
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 38,096
United States


Political Matrix
E: 5.29, S: -5.04


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #15 on: November 09, 2016, 03:55:00 AM »

DW Perry and Adam Kokesh end up uniting on a ticket in some order or another.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 14 queries.