Presidential Ratings and Predictions

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2016 U.S. Presidential Election

Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

Rate Texas and Predict Who Will Win

#1 Safe D		1 (0.9%)
#2 Likely D		1 (0.9%)
#3 Lean D		1 (0.9%)
#4 Toss-Up		12 (10.6%)
#5 Lean R		37 (32.7%)
#6 Likely R		46 (40.7%)
#7 Safe R		15 (13.3%)
#8 Clinton		11 (9.7%)
#9 Trump		89 (78.8%)
#10 Other		0 (0%)

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Partisan results

Total Voters: 113

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Author

Topic: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas (Read 2854 times)

Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,204

Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

	Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas « on: October 11, 2016, 03:51:08 PM »
	« edited: October 11, 2016, 04:14:21 PM by Interlocutor »

Likely R. The margin will be the closest since 1996, but it'll take another 2-3 elections before Texas moves to purple territory

52-45-3

EDIT: Depending on the outcome here and 2020, this could be the election that Texas moves from Solid R to Fools Gold for the Dems (AZ, GA). Even that shift should trouble the GOP

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Interlocutor is just not there yet
Interlocutor
Junior Chimp

Posts: 6,204

Political Matrix
E: -3.48, S: -5.04

	Re: Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Texas « Reply #1 on: October 23, 2016, 03:34:26 PM »
	« Edited: October 23, 2016, 05:33:44 PM by Interlocutor »

Switching to Lean R, but still very close to Likely R. Increased latino turnout + Stronger Democratic performances in Harris/Bexar/Travis counties + Depressed Republican turnout + Clinton Republicans =

51-47-2 Trump

A sign of things to come for the future of Texas Republicans, but I'm not expecting another result like this until 2028/2032

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