Nebraska CD-2, Ashford versus Bacon

[rbt48]

Has anyone seen polling data for the Brad Ashford/Don Bacon race for the Omaha, NE CD? 

There have been more Ashford ads than those for Bacon by far.  Ashford was a Republican for most of his career, then switched to an independent while a State Senator and made a losing run for the Omaha's mayor in 2013.  He became a Democrat for 2014 and defeated Lee Terry that year for the House seat riding to victory on Terry's statement that he had a family to raise and wouldn't forgo his salary during any government shutdowns.  It was pretty compelling and led to his ousting the eight-term incumbent.  He is running a strong campaign against the retired Brig Gen and commander of Offutt's 55th Wing, so I would expect him to have a lead over Bacon. 

[publicunofficial]

The only polls have been some internals released by Bacon and Ashford's campaigns. They had Bacon +2 in May and Ashford +10 in September, respectively.


I think Ashford probably pulls it out in the end.

[politicallefty]

I think the Clinton campaign actually has a ground game in NE-02, not to mention the support of Warren Buffett. Either way, I think NE-02 will be very close at the presidential level. Considering he could win in 2014, I think Ashford is more likely to pull over enough ticket-spliltters if necessary (or not if Hillary wins the district outright).

[BL53931]

The Omaha world Herald this morning editorially endorsed Clinton. That ought to help her in NE-2 and by default, Ashford.

Ashfords ads have been superior to Bacon's, IMO.

[Suburbia]

I think that Ashford will win over Bacon by 6 points. If Ashford ties Bacon to Trump and Pence, then it could cause a lot of problems for Bacon.

[Xing]

Ashford probably wins. While Trump seems to be helping some Republican incumbents like Blum and Poliquin, Clinton is definitely helping Ashford.

[Figueira]

I haven't been paying a whole lot of attention to this race, but I've been assuming that Ashford is narrowly favored.