Last minute expand map megathread - Spending & visits in AZ, GA, WI, NM, MI, MN

[IceSpear]

Understandable. NC, FL and NV look to be firmly in Trump's camp now, so it makes sense to push into bluer states.

LOL. If NV is firmly in anyone's column it's Hillary's.

[IceSpear]

Trump should carry WI without much trouble. He led there after the tax return and first debate. MI is a pure toss up, but the large number of undecideds favor Trump. I have NM going to Trump because it's Johnson's home state, but if he collapses there as he has nationwide Hillary could still have a chance.

Where are you getting this from? Trump never led in a single Wisconsin poll...ever.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

[IceSpear]

Trump should carry WI without much trouble. He led there after the tax return and first debate. MI is a pure toss up, but the large number of undecideds favor Trump. I have NM going to Trump because it's Johnson's home state, but if he collapses there as he has nationwide Hillary could still have a chance.

Where are you getting this from? Trump never led in a single Wisconsin poll...ever.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

He led by 1 in a single day sample of the most recent Marquette poll.

What do you suppose the MoE was on that one day sample?

[IceSpear]

Trump should carry WI without much trouble. He led there after the tax return and first debate. MI is a pure toss up, but the large number of undecideds favor Trump. I have NM going to Trump because it's Johnson's home state, but if he collapses there as he has nationwide Hillary could still have a chance.

Where are you getting this from? Trump never led in a single Wisconsin poll...ever.

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html

He led by 1 in a single day sample of the most recent Marquette poll.

Wow. A single day in a sample of multiple days. RIP Hillary.

The week after the first debate and the tax return scandal. If Trump was able to lead at that point than any recovery he gets is going to put him in the lead. Plus, outside of the PPP poll (which excluded third parties and was therefore useless), Hillary hasn't cracked 50% in the state in months. I was the one on this forum that said Trump would never win WI, but I assumed she'd be up by something like 51-44 at this point in the race, not 44-37. Those undecideds are basically lying or, as many others on this forum have stated, are looking for an excuse to vote GOP.

The page I just linked to has her up 47-41, not 44-37. Also, see the MoE post above. Your one day sample was probably something like +/-10%.

[IceSpear]

Looking at Trump and Pence's schedule  between now and Thursday

FL 7 stops
PA 4
NC 2
MI 2
WI 1

Look at this and their spending, PA is still 'plan A' to break the Clinton wall, as it always has been, but they are hunting for backup path plans like MI, WI (and CO and NM which were visited over the weekend).

Sounds very similar to the McCain/Romney strategy in the end game.

[IceSpear]

lol

[IceSpear]

I'll be going!