Last minute expand map megathread - Spending & visits in AZ, GA, WI, NM, MI, MN

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Well, we'll see. GA looked possible for Obama in 2008, until undecideds broke overwhelmingly for McCain. It looked like it would be decently close in 2014, even with the wave, until undecideds broke overwhelmingly for Perdue and Deal.

The situations are not comperable.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

I read a study somewhere that spending hundred millions of dollars in campaign net you maybe 1 % higher vote than you'd otherwise have gotten. It isn't worth it.

I'd like to see her run up the score on her blue firewall. GA and AZ are nice but empirically, states that flirt with low margins usually end up nodding it to the favorite. Republicans always get excited at tight margins in WI, MI, and PA in some noisy polls but they always nod blue in the end. AZ and GA are the same, conceptually.

I'd love to be proven wrong but Hillary won't win those two.

I think this is exactly the wrong election to be relying too much on patterns and normal election practices.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Trump is campaigning in Arizona for the 7th time in the general election, while Hillary currently has nothing scheduled for the weekend.

I believe she'll be in Florida on Sat...  but having that much flexibility and cash gives me pause to think they're not going to play the next week completely safe.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Understandable. NC, FL and NV look to be firmly in Trump's camp now, so it makes sense to push into bluer states.

Oh just stop it.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

so no one is going to Ohio?

Clinton has two events in Ohio tomorrow.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

More from Costa:

"My read of Trumpland tonight: They know the path is very narrow. They see the polls, pub and priv. But they're scrambling map post-Comey..."

https://twitter.com/costareports/status/792878514479439878

"But list of hurdles goes on and on. HRC and Dems highly organized. Early vote. Top Ds hitting trail. FBI news also enthusing D voters..."

https://twitter.com/costareports/status/792878514479439878

This is key.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Understandable. NC, FL and NV look to be firmly in Trump's camp now, so it makes sense to push into bluer states.

Joking or stupid?

No, seriously. I'm genuinely not sure.

These are people who thought Trump would only JUST lose when Clinton was up near double-digits. So... either performance art or a cretin. Remember this is Atlas, people would rather be the first to predict something, regardless. 

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

It's always funny watching the schedule of the last week come into place, it's like playing President Forever, and you keep zipping back and forth between the same 3-4 states.

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

a) Early vote numbers beg to differ
b) The Clinton people aren't putting any significant resources into it

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

https://twitter.com/Bencjacobs/status/794910680197513216

Trump's headed to Minnesota before Election Day.

Keep searching for those cracks...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Peter Alexander Verified account
‏@PeterAlexander

NEW: Trump top aide says their internals show Michigan a dead heat. Looking to add Trump MI stop Mon or Tues in addition to Sun rally there

somehow I think the "Trump Internal" is that weird poll that shows a tied race.

I feel this is like when Romney thought he was going to win Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and his "polls" said as much.

Lol, Trump doesn't have internals any more...

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Maybe his internals are showing something. Otherwise it sounds like a waste of the precious little time that's left.

Again... what internals?

[Fmr President & Senator Polnut]

Only one outlet has had to apologize for fabricating a story about a Presidential candidate this week, and that was FOX News.

The press has donated to Clinton's campaign 24-1 over Trump.

If it wasn't for the press, Trump wouldn't have gotten where he is.