Trump should carry WI without much trouble. He led there after the tax return and first debate. MI is a pure toss up, but the large number of undecideds favor Trump. I have NM going to Trump because it's Johnson's home state, but if he collapses there as he has nationwide Hillary could still have a chance.
Where are you getting this from? Trump never led in a single Wisconsin poll...ever.
http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/2016/president/wi/wisconsin_trump_vs_clinton-5659.html
He led by 1 in a single day sample of the most recent Marquette poll.
Wow. A single day in a sample of multiple days. RIP Hillary.
