The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin)

[Fargobison]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

[Fitzgerald]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

[Speed of Sound]

I was able to release the weighted results of my GCS Utah poll today, and it is in line with what we've seen recently: Trump +3 in LVs, McMullin and Trump tied in RVs.

[Fitzgerald]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

What's really funny to me is that McMullin's platform is probably a lot closer to Wyoming's values than Trump's. Alas, my dear southern neighbors (at least, those outside Teton, Albany, and Sweetwater Counties) practically robo-vote for Republicans in every election, so he wouldn't have much pull even if he was officially on the ballot.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

What's really funny to me is that McMullin's platform is probably a lot closer to Wyoming's values than Trump's. Alas, my dear southern neighbors (at least, those outside Teton, Albany, and Sweetwater Counties) practically robo-vote for Republicans in every election, so he wouldn't have much pull even if he was officially on the ballot.

I'd bet that the Mormons will give McMullin some love, but I'm not so sure about the other 90% of Wyoming.

I wish that we had more polls for him. I understand not doing nationwide polls, but some polls in states where he is on the ballot would be nice. I think that there's only been one Idaho poll with him (and I think it was an Atlas commissioned Google poll). CNU has been good about including him in their Virginia polls (where he is on the ballot). He's at about 3% in VA.

Edit: Lincoln and Big Horn counties in Wyoming could also be hot spots for McMullin, especially Lincoln.

[Mr. Morden]

Btw, this thread is funny in retrospect:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=236158.0

For the 100000th time: No. IT'S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. When will Atlas finally realize this? lol

Who would have thought at that point that a no-name conservative 3rd party candidate would have a legitimate shot at winning a state in this election?

I bet if someone wrote a 2016 timeline a year ago, and included this sideplot about Evan McMullin being tied in Utah polls, the author would be criticized for being unrealistic.

[Indy Texas]

i am shocked how attractive, self-ironic and seemingly anti-sexist, anti-racist mister mcmuffin is.

where does the GOP hide such people?

They don't bother running under normal circumstances, and if they do, their handlers make them behave like reactionary fundamentalists to please The Base.

[mencken]

#McMentum in Idaho...



https://twitter.com/johnclaybrook/status/787098943821787136

O-O

Jesus Christ (of Latter Day Saints)

He's going to win some counties in Idaho for sure. Madison County will be fascinating to watch. Going from 93% Republican to probably less than 33%.

I thought we knew better than to make political forecasts based on crowd sizes?

[GeorgiaModerate]

I bet if someone wrote a 2016 timeline a year ago, and included this sideplot about Evan McMullin being tied in Utah polls, the author would be criticized for being unrealistic.

That could apply to the entire election!

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Btw, this thread is funny in retrospect:

https://uselectionatlas.org/FORUM/index.php?topic=236158.0

For the 100000th time: No. IT'S NOT GOING TO HAPPEN. When will Atlas finally realize this? lol

Who would have thought at that point that a no-name conservative 3rd party candidate would have a legitimate shot at winning a state in this election?

I bet if someone wrote a 2016 timeline a year ago, and included this sideplot about Evan McMullin being tied in Utah polls, the author would be criticized for being unrealistic.

It would be like that scene from Back to the Future: "Who the hell is John F. Kennedy?" Granted, McMullin won't be the next president, but he was essentially no one before the election.

Hell, I probably would've called it unrealistic a month or two ago.

[Mr. Morden]

This thread is also funny:

Honestly I think the whole point of this is to try and get this to a no-majority situation so the House can elect Paul Ryan an establishment Republican to the Presidency.

Uh, the guy has zero chance of winning any states, and a near zero chance of breaking 1% in any state except Utah.

[PresidentSamTilden]

What in the name of Joseph smith is Romney waiting for? An endorsement could put this man over the top in Utah! Is he worried about offending Trump supporters?

[Fargobison]

Nice to see McMullin getting some attention from the Sunday shows...

You must be logged in to read this quote.

https://twitter.com/GStephanopoulos/status/789931083731042304

[On Fleek]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

That's strange cause according to Wikipedia he isn't even a write-in in Wyoming.

Btw, does anybody Mindy Finn's home state?

[Figueira]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

That's strange cause according to Wikipedia he isn't even a write-in in Wyoming.

Btw, does anybody Mindy Finn's home state?

She was born in Texas, although I don't know where she lives currently.

[On Fleek]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

That's strange cause according to Wikipedia he isn't even a write-in in Wyoming.

Btw, does anybody Mindy Finn's home state?

She was born in Texas, although I don't know where she lives currently.

Empowered Women, whose founder and current president she is, is registered in Washington D.C.
Maybe that's her home "state" (or Virginia/Maryland). It seems like this is the biggest mystery of this election cycle...

[Fargobison]

Saw some reports that McMullin will have a few Wyoming rallies next week.

Well, he might be able to win Uinta County, at least.

That would be impressive; it will probably be his best county at the very least though. He's only a write in in Wyoming. Wyoming has given thought to write ins though. Back in 2010, a write in for US Senate got about 7% statewide. I could see McMullin hitting 5% or so; he could've had a higher ceiling if he was actually on the ballot.

That's strange cause according to Wikipedia he isn't even a write-in in Wyoming.

Btw, does anybody Mindy Finn's home state?

Looks like they just added Wyoming yesterday...

https://twitter.com/TeamMcMullin/status/789580713020358657

[On Fleek]

Looks like they just added Wyoming yesterday...
https://twitter.com/TeamMcMullin/status/789580713020358657

Genuine ballot access or just write-ins?

[Fargobison]

Looks like they just added Wyoming yesterday...
https://twitter.com/TeamMcMullin/status/789580713020358657

Genuine ballot access or just write-ins?

It has to be write-in because I am pretty sure they missed the deadline in a few of those states.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

Looks like they just added Wyoming yesterday...
https://twitter.com/TeamMcMullin/status/789580713020358657

Genuine ballot access or just write-ins?

It has to be write-in because I am pretty sure they missed the deadline in a few of those states.

Write-in. I've been watching Wiki's map of his ballot access over the last couple of weeks and it's all over the place. I wouldn't rely on the Wiki map for the write-in states.

[JerryArkansas]

A poll for Arkansas is going to be released soon.  And McMullin just got endorsed by the speaker of the house here.  Lets see if he can get above 1% and Jill Stein, which shouldn't be too hard.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

A poll for Arkansas is going to be released soon.  And McMullin just got endorsed by the speaker of the house here.  Lets see if he can get above 1% and Jill Stein, which shouldn't be too hard.

Isn't the Green Party strong (relatively speaking) in Arkansas?

[JerryArkansas]

A poll for Arkansas is going to be released soon.  And McMullin just got endorsed by the speaker of the house here.  Lets see if he can get above 1% and Jill Stein, which shouldn't be too hard.

Isn't the Green Party strong (relatively speaking) in Arkansas?

The last poll taken in September had Stein at .5%.  So it shouldn't be too hard to get over that.

[Bakersfield Uber Alles]

A poll for Arkansas is going to be released soon.  And McMullin just got endorsed by the speaker of the house here.  Lets see if he can get above 1% and Jill Stein, which shouldn't be too hard.

Isn't the Green Party strong (relatively speaking) in Arkansas?

The last poll taken in September had Stein at .5%.  So it shouldn't be too hard to get over that.

Intrerestlng. I just looked up the GP of Arkansas. They managed to elect someone to the lower house, which is what I was thinking of. Hopefully the poll includes McMullin.