The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin) (user search)
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  The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin) (search mode)
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Author Topic: The rise and rise of Evan McMullin (formerly Egg McMuffin)  (Read 13335 times)
GeorgiaModerate
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« on: October 12, 2016, 05:16:36 PM »

In the unlikely event he wins utah and the election is close enough that the electoral college gets deadlocked I can easily see the house voting for him over Trump

No chance in hell because that assumes that the GOP is actually principled. There is NO way that House GOP members will risk arousing the ire of their base back home and potentially lose their primaries by virtue of voting for an independent candidate who received fewer votes than Trump and making him POTUS.

As Vosem notes here, in the unlikely event of an electoral college deadlock, there are enough anti-Trump Republicans in the House that there would almost certainly be a deadlock.  Neither Trump nor any other candidate would be able to win a majority of House delegations.  So if the GOP controls the Senate, then the House deadlocks, the Senate elects Pence as VP, and we get President Pence.  OTOH, if the Dems control the Senate, then the House Republicans have a strong incentive to reach a compromise, in order to avoid President Kaine.


Let's take this a step further.  Suppose the House deadlocks and the Senate is 50-50.  It's not at all clear that the sitting VP can break the tie in this case.  This probably goes to the Supreme Court...which is a justice short thanks to the GOP stonewalling since Scalia's death.  The court splits 4-4.  What happens next?  (Apart from liquor sales soaring.)
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1 on: October 22, 2016, 04:43:10 PM »


I bet if someone wrote a 2016 timeline a year ago, and included this sideplot about Evan McMullin being tied in Utah polls, the author would be criticized for being unrealistic.


That could apply to the entire election!
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #2 on: October 24, 2016, 07:39:36 PM »

Pence is going to SLC...To try to contain the outbreak of #McMentum in the Mountain West.

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https://twitter.com/RobertGehrke/status/790707977141432320

The Republican VP candidate holding an event in Utah two weeks before Election Day tells you everything you need to know about the state of the race.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #3 on: October 27, 2016, 05:23:21 PM »

This should help put Donnie over the top in Utah...

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https://twitter.com/DrDavidDuke/status/791421471159521281

McMullin's response:

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https://twitter.com/Evan_McMullin/status/791735680665726976
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #4 on: October 31, 2016, 11:35:55 AM »

McMullin is endorsed by the Provo (Utah) Daily Herald: http://www.heraldextra.com/news/opinion/herald-editorials/herald-editorial-a-vote-for-mcmullin-is-a-vote-for/article_d5f3ca37-01ec-510c-9b02-7b71593fd0ce.html
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #5 on: October 31, 2016, 05:15:47 PM »


Not surprising that someone is trying that. The robocall itself is insane. Not sure how it will pursuade anyone.

It might even backfire by bringing McMullin to the attention of more voters, as well as generating sympathy for the attack.
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