NC - Suffolk University: Clinton +2
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  NC - Suffolk University: Clinton +2
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Author Topic: NC - Suffolk University: Clinton +2  (Read 2578 times)
Wiz in Wis
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« on: October 13, 2016, 10:58:18 AM »
« edited: October 13, 2016, 11:18:07 AM by Wiz in Wis »

Suffolk University

Clinton 45
Trump 43
Johnson 5
Undecided 5

5 point swing to Clinton since early September.

More details to come

http://www.suffolk.edu/news/67728.php#.V_-zmvkrK70

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 10:59:06 AM »
« Edited: October 13, 2016, 11:03:16 AM by Arch »

Was this pre-assaultgate?


Edit: Great news on the swing.
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #2 on: October 13, 2016, 11:00:44 AM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #3 on: October 13, 2016, 11:05:52 AM »

Was this pre-assaultgate?


Edit: Great news on the swing.

http://www.cbsnews.com/news/poll-hillary-clinton-narrowly-leads-donald-trump-in-north-carolina/

"The poll surveyed 500 likely voters in North Carolina between Oct. 10 and 12 with a 4.4 percentage point margin of error. "
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Frozen Sky Ever Why
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« Reply #4 on: October 13, 2016, 11:07:06 AM »

Good news. Even if this goes back to being a tie it's unlikely Hillary will lose with her superior GOTV.
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Gass3268
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« Reply #5 on: October 13, 2016, 11:08:42 AM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280


That's a huge number of undecideds.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #6 on: October 13, 2016, 11:09:29 AM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280


That's a huge number of undecideds.

Those are the infamous anti-incumbent voters who will break against Burr at the booths.
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Person Man
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« Reply #7 on: October 13, 2016, 11:09:54 AM »

Will an undecideds actually vote?
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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 13, 2016, 11:10:28 AM »

Trump hasn't lead in a poll here in over a month.
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #9 on: October 13, 2016, 11:12:14 AM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280


That's a huge number of undecideds.

Undecided is a euphemism for saying "I need to find a new scandal that will sink the candidate I hate more" My guess is that NC undecideds are probably full of Trumpsters that are in self-denial.
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TC 25
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« Reply #10 on: October 13, 2016, 11:13:10 AM »

All in all, not a bad poll for Trump.  No presidential candidate in history has been hit the way Trump has been hit in the last six days, and from the ashes he remains in a virtual tie in a key battleground state.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #11 on: October 13, 2016, 11:14:03 AM »

All in all, not a bad poll for Trump.  No presidential candidate in history has been hit the way Trump has been hit in the last six days, and from the ashes he remains in a virtual tie in a key battleground state.

#analysis
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #12 on: October 13, 2016, 11:14:50 AM »

Oh God you guys are in trouble if you are betting on these stupid NYC stories dragging him down
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Fusionmunster
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« Reply #13 on: October 13, 2016, 11:16:12 AM »

Oh God you guys are in trouble if you are betting on these stupid NYC stories dragging him down

Our candidate isnt the one down in all but one swing state.
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ApatheticAustrian
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« Reply #14 on: October 13, 2016, 11:18:32 AM »

Oh God you guys are in trouble if you are betting on these stupid NYC stories dragging him down

he was down before with educated women and NC produces them in high quantity.

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Rand
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« Reply #15 on: October 13, 2016, 11:19:11 AM »

All in all, not a bad poll for Trump.  No presidential candidate in history has been hit the way Trump has been hit in the last six days, and from the ashes he remains in a virtual tie in a key battleground state.

Is that you, Kellyanne?
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Terry the Fat Shark
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« Reply #16 on: October 13, 2016, 11:23:21 AM »

Oh God you guys are in trouble if you are betting on these stupid NYC stories dragging him down

Our candidate isnt the one down in all but one swing state.

excuse me, my candidate is down in all 50 states Tongue
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #17 on: October 13, 2016, 11:23:53 AM »

Oh God you guys are in trouble if you are betting on these stupid NYC stories dragging him down

Our candidate isnt the one down in all but one swing state.

excuse me, my candidate is down in all 50 states Tongue

lol
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #18 on: October 13, 2016, 11:52:39 AM »

So Donald still can't lead a single poll in one of the friendliest of his must-wins.  You'd have to be a dumb to look at this as positive for Sniffles McPussygrab.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #19 on: October 13, 2016, 12:02:00 PM »


NC is a high-quality state for flipping to the D-side.

May this state cast their votes for the Democratic Party candidate in many elections to come, including this one!

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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #20 on: October 13, 2016, 01:13:55 PM »

Question Sad

In 538, they entered this poll into their system as Clinton 45%, and trump 43%, which obviously computes to a Clinton +2.
But yet their system only shows a Clinton +1 in their "Leader" column for this poll (I don't mean "Adjusted Leader").
Why ?
An error ?
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Ozymandias
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« Reply #21 on: October 13, 2016, 01:22:08 PM »

Question Sad

In 538, they entered this poll into their system as Clinton 45%, and trump 43%, which obviously computes to a Clinton +2.
But yet their system only shows a Clinton +1 in their "Leader" column for this poll (I don't mean "Adjusted Leader").
Why ?
An error ?

No, just rounding - if you look at the detailed poll data, Clinton is at 44.8% and Trump is at 43.4%:

http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_13_2016_marginals.pdf
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #22 on: October 13, 2016, 01:28:12 PM »

Question Sad

In 538, they entered this poll into their system as Clinton 45%, and trump 43%, which obviously computes to a Clinton +2.
But yet their system only shows a Clinton +1 in their "Leader" column for this poll (I don't mean "Adjusted Leader").
Why ?
An error ?

No, just rounding - if you look at the detailed poll data, Clinton is at 44.8% and Trump is at 43.4%:
http://www.suffolk.edu/documents/SUPRC/10_13_2016_marginals.pdf

Ahhh .... OK.
Thanks.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #23 on: October 13, 2016, 01:29:18 PM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280


That's a huge number of undecideds.

Those are the infamous anti-incumbent voters who will break against Burr at the booths.

Yeah, of course.

You are underestimating the power of the Angry Anti-Incumbent North Carolina Undecideds.
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #24 on: October 13, 2016, 01:30:53 PM »

David Paleologos ‏@davidpaleologos  2m2 minutes ago
SUPRC poll of NC likely voters - Rep. Burr leads Dem. Ross 40-36 with Haugh (Lib) getting 6, 16 und, and 3 ref; margin still 4-pts vs Sept.

https://twitter.com/davidpaleologos/status/786596871032545280


That's a huge number of undecideds.

Those are the infamous anti-incumbent voters who will break against Burr at the booths.

Yeah, of course.

You are underestimating the power of the Angry Anti-Incumbent North Carolina Undecideds.

If they are anti-incumbent, they should break against Clinton as well. No one knows who they are.

That's not how it works Wink Clinton would be a new president.
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