Why did the polls overestimate Obama in Iowa (GE)?
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
April 26, 2024, 12:45:27 PM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  U.S. Presidential Election Results
  2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results (Moderator: Dereich)
  Why did the polls overestimate Obama in Iowa (GE)?		 « previous next »
Pages: [1]
Author Topic: Why did the polls overestimate Obama in Iowa (GE)?  (Read 1744 times)
Xing
xingkerui
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 30,307
United States


Political Matrix
E: -6.52, S: -3.91

P P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« on: October 13, 2016, 02:21:44 PM »
While Obama, as expected, easily won Iowa in 2008, the polls overestimated his margin by almost 6%. What could have caused that?
Logged
Terry the Fat Shark
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,502
United States


P P
Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #1 on: October 13, 2016, 03:10:20 PM »
Shy McCain effect? Iowa didn't want to be "that one white state that looked racist"
Logged
UWS
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,241


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #2 on: January 17, 2017, 06:41:45 PM »
I think another reason why Obama won the Iowa caucuses in 2008 is because Iowa borders Obama's home state of Illinois.
Logged
Pages: [1]  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.026 seconds with 12 queries.