Competitive House Predictions: NH-01 to NY-22

[ElectionsGuy]

One vote for each race.

Update/Vote in the previous threads. There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall results!

Part 1 Part 2 Part 3 Part 4 Part 5

Predictions



Safe R: 202
Safe D: 176

Competitive R: 19
Competitive D: 19

Republicans: 221✔
Democrats: 195

Gains

CA-25 (D+1)
CO-06 (D+1)
FL-02 (R+1)
FL-10 (D+1)
FL-13 (D+1)
IL-10 (D+1)
IA-01 (D+1)
MI-01 (D+1)
MN-02 (D+1)
NV-03 (D+1)
NV-04 (D+1)

Overall: D+10

My predictions

NH-01: Carol Shea-Porter (D)
NJ-05: Scott Garrett (R)
NY-01: Lee Zeldin (R)
NY-03: Tom Suozzi (D)
NY-19: Zephyr Teachout (D)
NY-21: Elise Stefanik (R)
NY-22: Kim Myers (D)

[Fitzgerald]

Going to be bold and say Democrats across the board. The East Coast is going to be a bloodbath, and I'll happily eat my hat with mustard if I'm proven wrong.

[Heisenberg]

You forgot Martin Babinec, a strong independent running in NY-22. I'm going to be bold and say he gets second place (behind Tenney), as it seems like he's taking more votes from Myers.

[Nyvin]

This looks like one of the more favorable list for Democrats so far.    I'm not sure about NY-21 or NY-22, but the rest should go to Dems.

NH-1 is Likely Dem

[Xing]

I'll say that Republicans narrowly hold NJ-05 and NY-21, but that Democrats get the rest.

[Vosem]

Shea-Porter, Gottheimer, and Myers are all D gains. The rest are all incumbent holds.

[Heisenberg]

Good list for Democrats. NH-01 and NJ-05 both flip, NY-03 stays Dem. NY-22 stays GOP due to Babinec.

[Maxwell]

Shea-Porter, Myers, Gottheimer, and Teachout are the Dem gains from this area. The rest are incumbent party holds.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Dems win everything except NY-21

Edit: Republicans also hold NY-1.  I don't quite see how Zeldin is hanging on since he seems pretty right-wing, but he definitely has an edge here and I've always felt the Democrats picked the weaker of their two potential candidates here.  Maybe a local poster can shed some light on what's been going on in this race.

[Young Conservative]

Going to be bold and say Democrats across the board. The East Coast is going to be a bloodbath, and I'll happily eat my hat with mustard if I'm proven wrong.

Elise Stefanik isn't losing. Zero chance.

[Metalhead123]

I really hope Gottheimer wins NJ-05

[MATTROSE94]

Going to be bold and say Democrats across the board. The East Coast is going to be a bloodbath, and I'll happily eat my hat with mustard if I'm proven wrong.

[ElectionsGuy]

Bumping due to closeness of NY-01.