What percentage of the PV will Donald Trump get? (user search)
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  What percentage of the PV will Donald Trump get? (search mode)
Pages: [1]
Poll
Question: ?
#1
55%+ (lol)		  
#2
55%		  
#3
54%		  
#4
53%		  
#5
52%		  
#6
51%		  
#7
50%		  
#8
49%		  
#9
48%		  
#10
47%		  
#11
46%		  
#12
45%		  
#13
44%		  
#14
43%		  
#15
42%		  
#16
41%		  
#17
40%		  
#18
39%		  
#19
38%		  
#20
37%		  
#21
36%		  
#22
35%		  
#23
Below 35% (lol)		  
Show Pie Chart
Partisan results
Total Voters: 102

Author Topic: What percentage of the PV will Donald Trump get?  (Read 1032 times)
JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,955
United States


« on: October 15, 2016, 05:19:53 AM »
51% Clinton
43% Trump
04% Johnson
01% Stein
01% McMullin, & others
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JA
Jacobin American
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 6,955
United States


« Reply #1 on: October 15, 2016, 05:35:11 AM »
Quote from: Rogier on October 15, 2016, 05:24:53 AM
Why are people giving Johnson 4% when he has consistently polled at 7? Wouldn't that be pretty bad for the LP given the field?

I gave him 4% because third party candidates tend to underperform on election day. Most holdouts accept that either the D or R will be President and vote accordingly. While this election is far from the norm, I still expect that pattern to hold up. I could definitely be wrong, but I'm betting that I'm not.
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