49 states of county map predictions

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

And maybe Alaska if I can figure out how to do that one.

But yeah this will happen again for the third year. Standard disclaimers:
-I won't predict in the maps the exact margin of victory for the victorious candidate, or even the victor in close states (though none now that I see as that is undoable). These are for the county maps, the actual predictions will be other threads.
-I'm doing them in no particular order, although the easier ones will probably come first. Hawaii before Texas is a no-brainer.
-They will be subject to change.
-I have in the past revised them based on constructive criticism, and am open to that, but not "OMG how could you be so dumb as to believe Hillary/Trump will win _______ county!" If you're going to disagree with something explain why and I'll take it into consideration.
-There's no set schedule or deadline for any state, aside from the obvious exception of Election Day.

And now, they begin.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

No explanation or write-up necessary:

This one wasn't easy, but I wanted to do it and thought it would be a good one to start stimulating discussion with:

[cinyc]

What's the problem with predicting Alaska?  No "county" map or not enough past "county" data?  I think I can solve both issues.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

What's the problem with predicting Alaska?  No "county" map or not enough past "county" data?  I think I can solve both issues.

Yeah, no map on the site to base it off.

[RI]

Pro-tip: Print screen the maps rather than copying them to avoid the black backgrounds.

[cinyc]

What's the problem with predicting Alaska?  No "county" map or not enough past "county" data?  I think I can solve both issues.

Yeah, no map on the site to base it off.

Try using paint or whatever program you use with this blank Alaska County Equivalent map (click on the image for a larger map from the gallery):

[Senator-elect Spark]

Here's all 50:

[An American Tail: Fubart Goes West]

Here's all 50:

Sacramento and Yolo counties in CA are never going to vote Trump.

[AGA]

Here's all 50:

The main issues that I see with this map is Trump winning Milwaukee and some very Democratic areas of New Hampshire.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

Here's all 50:

Trump isn't winning Fayette County, KY, where Lexington is.  If anything, Hillary will win more counties here than Obama in 2012.

[AGA]

Trump has zero chance of winning Telo County, WY. Also lol@him winning more than 3 counties in NH.

You mean Teton county?

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Here's all 50:

It will be a very cold day in Hell when Trump wins Mahoning County.  He's not winning Hamilton County, Montgomery County, Clark County or Portage County either.  I assume Summit County was a mistake since I can't even begin to imagine what the rationale would be for him winning there  He'll probably lose Stark County too, but I'm less certain about that one, to be fair.  There were some others I question that you gave to him (such as Belmont County and Ross County), but they're a bit more reasonable.

Btw, he's also gonna get nuked in Johnson County, KS.  He's such a drag there that both parties are spending a ton of money on KS-3 and the seat has basically become a toss-up tilt-R race even though Kevin Yoder is a really strong incumbent (IIRC).

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

LMAO Carlton County, MN.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

LMAO Carlton County, MN.

Apparently Trump is going to win Will County, IL

[Senator-elect Spark]

Everyone calm down.

[Badger]

Here's all 50:

It will be a very cold day in Hell when Trump wins Mahoning County.  He's not winning Hamilton County, Montgomery County, Clark County or Portage County either.  I assume Summit County was a mistake since I can't even begin to imagine what the rationale would be for him winning there  He'll probably lose Stark County too, but I'm less certain about that one, to be fair.  There were some others I question that you gave to him (such as Belmont County and Ross County), but they're a bit more reasonable.

Btw, he's also gonna get nuked in Johnson County, KS.  He's such a drag there that both parties are spending a ton of money on KS-3 and the seat has basically become a toss-up tilt-R race even though Kevin Yoder is a really strong incumbent (IIRC).

spot on OH analysis.

this map is laughable on SOOOOO many levels. spark is such a hack.

[Badger]

Everyone calm down.

"Calm down?" dude, it's not like everyone rushed to nitpick . there are SO MANY gut wrenchingly  obvious miscalculations (to the non-oblivious at least), that it's easy to find low hanging fruit from even quick glance.

[Adam Griffin]

^^^ We've already gave Spark tons of feedback on this map before - which appears to be a low-resolution file where he just approximated each county's location and quickly shaded it without verifying that the counties matched up - but he refuses to redo any of it. Tons of errors. I've said it like three times now: Richmond County, Georgia - a majority-black county that gave Obama two-thirds of its votes - is not going for Trump. Freaking Forsyth, Paulding and Cobb aren't going to vote for Clinton while Fulton votes for Trump. Etc.

[Dr. Arch]

Everyone calm down.

"Calm down?" dude, it's not like everyone rushed to nitpick . there are SO MANY gut wrenchingly  obvious miscalculations (to the non-oblivious at least), that it's easy to find low hanging fruit from even quick glance.

It's okay. Obviously, Trump is the best fit for Milwaukee. Believe me. Everyone knows it. I know you it. You know it.

[Incipimus iterum]

Here's all 50:

Trump will never carry Blaine County Idaho, it voted for Obama with 58.8%

[Badger]

Here's all 50:

Trump will never carry Blaine County Idaho, it voted for Obama with 58.8%

i was just about to mention that.

less crazy, but still bad is Centre County PA

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Here's all 50:

Trump will never carry Blaine County Idaho, it voted for Obama with 58.8%

i was just about to mention that.

less crazy, but still bad is Centre County PA

To say nothing of Douglas County, KS (Obama 60.39% in 2012)

[7,052,770]

Spark has Clinton winning Pontotoc County MS (76% Romney) but not Kemper (54% Obama) or Oktibbeha (50% Obama)

[Badger]

Spark has Clinton winning Pontotoc County MS (76% Romney) but not Kemper (54% Obama) or Oktibbeha (50% Obama)

Trump is apparently going to flip Hancock County ME after Romney only got 40% there. someone sure buys into ME-2 being that 270th EV. LOL!

[Incipimus iterum]

Spark has Clinton winning Pontotoc County MS (76% Romney) but not Kemper (54% Obama) or Oktibbeha (50% Obama)

Trump is apparently going to flip Hancock County ME after Romney only got 40% there. someone sure buys into ME-2 being that 270th EV. LOL!

Maybe Spark's working for the Trump campaign!!!!!