How can candidates win particular states megathread

[Senator-elect Spark]

[International Brotherhood of Bernard]

They don't

[Yank2133]

They don't.

[Tartarus Sauce]

They don't.

[Speed of Sound]

For real, they don't. Good to see you're off the wagon again, though.

[heatcharger]

Stop making threads.

[Maxwell]

please make an interesting thread for once

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Russia nukes Fairfax County.

[voter1993]

Big margins outside of NOVA, winning richmond surbubs + virginia beach area, while winning Loudon county and keeping the margin to 5-10% in fairfax

[NeverAgain]

please make an interesting thread for once

Trump is going to win no matter what happens, so I would become comfortable with imagining that quickly. Just because that it is not in Hillary's favor doesn't mean I can't make the thread.

You really want to be spam quoted on November 8th, doncha? Like, lol. At least seriously puts effort into his hackery.

[Senator-elect Spark]

please make an interesting thread for once

Trump is going to win no matter what happens, so I would become comfortable with imagining that quickly. Just because that it is not in Hillary's favor doesn't mean I can't make the thread.

You really want to be spam quoted on November 8th, doncha? Like, lol. At least seriously puts effort into his hackery.

Why not?

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

please make an interesting thread for once

Trump is going to win no matter what happens, so I would become comfortable with imagining that quickly. Just because that it is not in Hillary's favor doesn't mean I can't make the thread.

[Xing]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones. He'll win Texas by +6.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

[I spent the winter writing songs about getting better]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

[DavidB.]

They don't

They don't.

They don't.

[The world will shine with light in our nightmare]

If I were you, I'd go to bed real, real early on election night, lest you have a complete breakdown.

[Blackacre]

Two ways it happens:

1. The Virginias reunite. West Virginia's GOP votes move the unified Virginia to Trump

2. Russia bombs the DC Suburbs

Aside from that, I don't see it happening. Virginia isn't a Safe D seat yet, it's more in line with the Rust Belt states in that the GOP would win it with a large popular vote win. But that win just isn't happening in 2016.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

Trump is from New York, therefore he will win New York (I've seen many Trump supporters say that he is uniquely positioned as a Republican to win that state).

[PresidentSamTilden]

Their first term is unsuccessful, and they lose to the GOP nominee in 2020. Cuz it isn't happening in 2016.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Might as well ask how Trump is going to lose Texas, since that's more likely.

Trump is performing better in liberal states than in conservative ones.

New Jersey & New York are examples.

He's currently losing NJ by 11 points and NY by 20 in the polling aggregate. He's also trailing Romney's percentage in both. Next.

Don't use polls, they are rigged in her favor. Use other factors.

What "other factors"? Crowd sizes? I thought that we had learned from 2012...?

[LimoLiberal]

As somebody who lives in Arlington County, it is extremely unlikely he will win Virginia. Remember, in the GOP Primary  in Loudoun, Fairfax, Arlington, and Alexandria, Trump came in 2nd or 3rd place. He is uniquely positioned to have the worst showing for a major party nominee in Northern Virginia since Dukakis in '88.

He turns off...

Latinos (Arlington and Prince William County is 15 and 20 percent Hispanic, respectively)
College Educated Whites (Northern Virginia is the most educated place in the country)
Asians (Fairfax and Loudoun counties have large Vietnamese, Korean, and Indian populations
Millennials (Arlington County is 27% between the ages of 25-34)
Black People (Decent sized African American through whole region)

He will lose bigly. And although Northern Virginia is certainly not the whole part of Virginia, it is growing and will continue to grow. That is why even if Trump manages to drive up turnout in the formerly Democratic (now shifted hard right) parts of Southwest Virginia, it will still do effectively nothing to counter the huge margin Hillary racks up in those counties near DC. Clinton/Kaine will win Virginia.

P.S.

1. Trump literally pulled out of the state.
2. Trump won't just crater in the DC suburbs, he will be the first Republican since 1964 to lose Chesterfield county (Richmond suburb) and do similarly abysmal in the rest of the Richmond area.