NBC/WSJ National: Clinton +10/+11

[heatcharger]

Link.

4-way:

Clinton 48%
Trump 37%
Johnson 7%
Stein 2%

2-way:

Clinton 51%
Trump 41%

Oct 10-13, +/- 3.3%, 905 LVs

[/]

[Southern Delegate matthew27]

Now that is a good poll

[Incipimus iterum]

My reaction

[Fusionmunster]

Oh thats what Murray meant...

[politicallefty]

Damn, my last post was quite despondent. This poll makes me feel a lot better.

To be honest, I wish Election Day was a lot closer. I'm trying to deal with the day to day bullsh-t, but this election has been taking a serious toll on me and my overall stress levels. Right now, I just want to get it over with.

[dspNY]

Although the WaPo and WSJ polls have different margins, the key to both polls is Clinton nearing 50% in the 4-way ballot test and at or above 50% in the head-to-head

[Rand]

But..but...Bill Clinton, Wikileaks, Hillary on drugs...why isn't McGropey's brilliant campaign strategy working?

[BoAtlantis]

Every other poll ranges from +4 to +7.

NBC/WSJ is alone in showing double digits. They must be overly optimistic.

[Fargobison]

some big gender differences between NBC and WaPo....

Men
Even (WaPo)
T +3 (NBC)

Women
Clinton +8 (WaPo)
C +20 (NBC)

[Fargobison]

NBC poll projecting some big league ticket splitting....

[heatcharger]

NBC poll projecting some big league ticket splitting....

BOOOOO! I honestly doubt that'll be the case on Election Day. People say they want to provide "a check and balance", but in reality people are pretty partisan.

[dspNY]

NBC poll projecting some big league ticket splitting....

I think they're going to be right

[Person Man]

I'd buy the average.

[Mr. Morden]

[Gass3268]

The generic Congessional poll is still D+3.

[Dr. Arch]

Glorious results. Average this with the ABC poll, and we're right about where we thought she was.

[voter1993]

nbc is the only major poll who sees the race like this... if shes abead by 10 points she would be up by 15 points in nevada. The ABC poll looks more accurate... 4 point race eith her winning nevada by 6.

[heatcharger]

nbc is the only major poll who sees the race like this... if shes abead by 10 points she would be up by 15 points in nevada. The ABC poll looks more accurate... 4 point race eith her winning nevada by 6.

Ignore.

[Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck]

KAAAAAAAAAA-BLAM!!!!!!!!!!!

great poll!

[Holmes]

October 10-13? Didn't they poll October 10 and 11 post-debate and get Clinton +7? So their October 12 and 13 samples must've been good to Clinton.

[BoAtlantis]

Silver adjusted this from +11 to +10.

[mark_twain]

Great poll!

The important lesson learned is that these are solid gains for Clinton, since the near-tie situation right before the first debate.

[Fargobison]

HRC should have Michelle out on the trail more and more...

[dspNY]

Full Stats

Demographics: 71W/12B/10H

Right/Wrong track: 29/65
Obama approval: 53/44 (up from 52/45)
Clinton approval: 40/50 (up from 38/51)
Trump approval: 29/62 (similar to 30/63)
Democratic Party: 39/42 (up from 37/43)
Republican Party: 26/49 (down from 26/48)
Mike Pence: 36/28 (up from 26/25)
Tim Kaine: 29/29 (down from 26/19)
Michelle Obama: 59/25 (up from 56/27)
Alicia Machado: 9/10 (18% neutral, 63% have not heard of her)
Paul Ryan: 29/36 (down form 28/30)
Trump's strongly oppose/will never vote for him: 50%
Clinton's strongly oppose/will never vote for her: 40%

13% of people say they are afraid to come out and support Trump
8% of people say they are afraid to come out and support Clinton
8% of people say they are afraid to come out and support either
Congressional ballot: 46/44 Democrats (down from 49/42)
A check on Clinton: 53/40 will vote for a Republican downballot to check her
Republican support for Trump downballot: 26/16/56 (do not support him/support him/no difference)
Clinton optimism: 43/46 optimistic/pessimistic
Debates: 31/14/52 (support for Clinton/support for Trump/no difference)
Financial situation: 52/42 optimistic/pessimistic

Trade: 46/43 Trump (was 48/38 Trump in July)
Economy: 44/43 Trump (was 46/41 Trump in September)
SCOTUS: 48/38 Clinton (was 47/34 Clinton in July)
Positive change: 44/36 Clinton (was 44/38 Clinton in September)
Good CiC: 52/32 Clinton (was 48/33 Clinton in September)
Women's rights: 67/17 Clinton (was 63/16 Clinton in September)
Honesty: 38/34/25 Trump/Clinton/Neither (was 41/31/25 in September)
Personal characteristics: 51/25 Clinton
Temperament: 59/25 Clinton (was 56/23 Clinton in September)

95% have seen the Access Hollywood tape
Does it disqualify Trump from the race: 32% yes, 53% no
Trump's racist and sexist comments: 68/31 concerning
Clinton's email server: 67/33 concerning
Clinton's Middle East judgment: 67/33 concerning
Trump's temperament: 64/36 concerning
Trump's sexual behavior: 64/35 concerning
Clinton's open markets/borders comments: 56/36 concerning
Trump's $900 million writeoff: 55/44 concerning
Trump not releasing his taxes: 50/49 concerning
Clinton's "criticism" against Bill's accusers: 48/49 not concerning
Trump's $900 million writeoff: 38/44/15 (good business sense/bad business sense/no opinion)

Party ID: 44D/37R/13I
Political ideology: 26/34/37 liberal/moderate/conservative