Prediction: states where Hillary will get 70%+ of the votes
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  Prediction: states where Hillary will get 70%+ of the votes
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Author Topic: Prediction: states where Hillary will get 70%+ of the votes  (Read 940 times)
Arbitrage1980
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« on: October 16, 2016, 12:57:18 PM »

Do not include D.C. or ME01 since those are not states.

Hawaii
Vermont
Rhode Island
Maryland
Massachusetts

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AGA
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« Reply #1 on: October 16, 2016, 01:02:06 PM »

None. Obama barely broke 70% in Hawaii in 2012, and since Hillary Clinton is not from there as Obama was, she will probably get less than 70%. Also, there will be a higher percentage of votes cast for third party candidates, and this also makes it more difficult for a single candidate to get over 70% of the vote in a state.
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Crumpets
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« Reply #2 on: October 16, 2016, 01:02:19 PM »

None. Hawaii will be closest.
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Cashew
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« Reply #3 on: October 16, 2016, 01:04:34 PM »

None. Maryland will be closest.
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SNJ1985
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« Reply #4 on: October 16, 2016, 01:14:08 PM »

I think Hillary Clinton can get 70%+ in Hawaii. It is a majority-minority state, after all.
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AGA
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« Reply #5 on: October 16, 2016, 01:18:21 PM »

Four states voted to the left of Maryland in 2012, and the state is not very elastic.
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evergreenarbor
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« Reply #6 on: October 16, 2016, 01:19:24 PM »

DC if it counts. If not, Hawaii will the closest at ~65%.
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peterthlee
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« Reply #7 on: October 16, 2016, 08:33:43 PM »

Washington, DC (not a state) (95D)
--------------------------------
Hawaii (77D)
Vermont (73D)
Maryland (72D)
Rhode Island (71D)
Massachusetts (70D)
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Hammy
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« Reply #8 on: October 16, 2016, 08:57:20 PM »

Honestly I can't see either candidate breaking 70% in any states. (Clinton breaking 70% in DC is about the only guarantee.)
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Skye
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« Reply #9 on: October 16, 2016, 09:09:44 PM »

None.
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #10 on: October 16, 2016, 09:15:22 PM »

Hawaii is plausible but I don't see her getting above 66-68%
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Xing
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« Reply #11 on: October 16, 2016, 09:18:58 PM »

Only D.C., which isn't a state.
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Coolface Sock #42069
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« Reply #12 on: October 16, 2016, 10:55:48 PM »

I'm going with Vermont. I'd expect Trump to lose a bigger share of Republicand in Vermont than he does nationally.

Then again, I'm no expert on New England politics.
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100% pro-life no matter what
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« Reply #13 on: October 16, 2016, 11:05:38 PM »

None.  Vermont and Hawaii will trend fairly strongly Republican relative to the nation as a whole, due to Obama not being on the ballot and a stronger third party performance.  Maryland will be the most Democratic state in the nation.
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True Federalist (진정한 연방 주의자)
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« Reply #14 on: October 16, 2016, 11:13:07 PM »

Honestly I can't see either candidate breaking 70% in any states. (Clinton breaking 70% in DC is about the only guarantee.)
DC breaking 80% Clinton is also guarenteeable. She might not cross 90% there due to third party voting, but there's been a lack of polling there.  Even the 50 state pols usually don't include DC, probably because the only thing in doubt there is the margin, not the result.
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ElectionsGuy
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« Reply #15 on: October 16, 2016, 11:29:52 PM »

None except DC, where she'll probably break 90%.
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« Reply #16 on: October 16, 2016, 11:59:19 PM »

Hawaii is the only possibility. It's guaranteed to be her best state either way. Vermont is probably maxed out for Democrats and Maryland probably is too, in addition to being rather inelastic.
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Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #17 on: October 17, 2016, 12:23:42 AM »

Stein+Sanders Writeins+Johnson will be about  20% of the vote in Vermont, so Hillary can't do it there. Maryland, Massachusetts, and Rhode Island were only low 60s for Obama, so no there as well. ME-1 wasn't even 60% Obama. She wasn't born in Hawaii so she won't do it there. So yeah, only DC.
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BRTD
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« Reply #18 on: October 17, 2016, 12:29:08 AM »

Can people please get over this idea that Vermont will have hordes of Sanders write-ins? There's no actual campaign for this being pushed by anyone, and especially not Sanders himself, who is now campaigning for Hillary pretty aggressively.
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Attorney General & Senator Dwarven Dragon
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« Reply #19 on: October 17, 2016, 12:45:50 AM »

Can people please get over this idea that Vermont will have hordes of Sanders write-ins? There's no actual campaign for this being pushed by anyone, and especially not Sanders himself, who is now campaigning for Hillary pretty aggressively.

He's hardly campaigning in Vermont, and there has to be a lot of disappointment there that he's not the nominee, he even won among superdelegates there (albeit only 6-4)
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« Reply #20 on: October 17, 2016, 04:29:35 AM »

None if you don't include DC.
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Senator Spark
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« Reply #21 on: October 17, 2016, 04:36:57 AM »

None
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #22 on: October 17, 2016, 07:40:32 AM »

Washington, D. C.(90D)
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Hawaii(66D)
Maryland(65D)
Massachusetts/Rhode Island(64D)
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Classic Conservative
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« Reply #23 on: October 17, 2016, 07:58:30 AM »

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Stranger in a strange land
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« Reply #24 on: October 17, 2016, 09:40:24 AM »

Hawaii is the only possibility.
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