Clinton Campagin to launch 1 week ad buy in Texas!

[Gass3268]

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[F_S_USATN]

Digital ad's in AZ and 1M into IN and MO(presumably trying to gain Senate seats)

[Gustaf]

So this means they think the race is over right?

I mean, there is literally no scenario whatsoever in any universe where Clinton wins thanks to winning Texas of all places.

[psychprofessor]

So this means they think the race is over right?

I mean, there is literally no scenario whatsoever in any universe where Clinton wins thanks to winning Texas of all places.

expanding the map

[rafta_rafta]

Could Travis country be won by a big enough margin to Flip Texas?

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Well, if they think throwing money out the window will help them, they're welcome to try it.

[Gass3268]

So this means they think the race is over right?

I mean, there is literally no scenario whatsoever in any universe where Clinton wins thanks to winning Texas of all places.

I think that's the message they are sending. Robby Mook is extremely risk adverse when it comes to the decisions they make and they do every thing basked on the work of Elan Kriegel their data expert.

[Blackacre]

I think this is a mistake. It'd look satisfying on an electoral map but unless you want to indirectly help house candidates in Texas, it's a lot less efficient than spending money on states with competitive Senate races like Pennsylvania

[Gass3268]

I think this is a mistake. It'd look satisfying on an electoral map but unless you want to indirectly help house candidates in Texas, it's a lot less efficient than spending money on states with competitive Senate races like Pennsylvania

They are also pumping in more money into states with Senate races, including IN and MO

[Ebsy]

The thing is, there is only so much money you can spend in the swing states before you get diminishing returns. After that threshold is reached, you need to start investing more broadly to see if anything will pay dividends.

[Rand]

But I thought elections were won via tweets and offending all the voter groups you need to swing in your direction and attacking Alex Baldwin and Rosie O'Donnell and mediocre, belated ad buys and having no GOTV operation and giving disastrous debate performances and surrounding yourself with an inept campaign team???

[Gass3268]

They will be digital ads:

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[Gustaf]

So this means they think the race is over right?

I mean, there is literally no scenario whatsoever in any universe where Clinton wins thanks to winning Texas of all places.

expanding the map

I always thought that was a bit of a vague phrase. I don't think the Clinton camp thinks they need Texas  to win the presidency in any scenario. I also think that they have (at least close to) lexicographic preferences whereby winning the presidency supercedes all other concerns. Thus, any action taken that is about something else than the presidency ("expanding the map", helping Congressional candidates, etc) implies they think their own race is done.

[Kushahontas]

Could Travis country be won by a big enough margin to Flip Texas?

For Texas to flip, the more populous Harris would have to swing considerably, as would its suburbs and the suburbs in the Metroplex (and Austin too). Travis County itself does not contain enough votes to swing Texas on its own

[Xing]

I think they're just trying to scare Trump, or perhaps pad to their PV margin.

[Young Conservative]

Well, if they think throwing money out the window will help them, they're welcome to try it.

[ApatheticAustrian]

the question would be...what else can the clinton campaign do with their gazillions of dollars right now?

[Doimper]

What a terrible election for Republicans.

[Maxwell]

the last surveyusa poll showed Clinton only 4 points down in Texas. Smart move, if not to win Texas than to force Trump to spend time there.

[DINGO Joe]

the question would be...what else can the clinton campaign do with their gazillions of dollars right now?

Hopefully they can do very targeted GOTV effort to help down ballot candidates in competitive races.  Whether it's a battleground state or not.

[Yank2133]

What a terrible election for Republicans.

Yeah, this is pretty much my take away from this ad buy.

[Skye]

Clinton's probably not going to win TX, but considering how Trump is collapsing, this isn't such a bad idea for the future.

[Blackacre]

the question would be...what else can the clinton campaign do with their gazillions of dollars right now?

Hopefully they can do very targeted GOTV effort to help down ballot candidates in competitive races.  Whether it's a battleground state or not.

[ag]

It could also be an investment in 2020.

[Enduro]

Someone in the Clinton campaign got bored...