Bloomberg Clinton +9
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Author Topic: Bloomberg Clinton +9  (Read 1293 times)
SunSt0rm
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« on: October 19, 2016, 05:11:36 AM »

Clinton 47%
Trump 38%
Johnson 8%
Stein 3%

http://www.bloomberg.com/politics/articles/2016-10-19/national-poll
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dspNY
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 05:22:57 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 05:25:21 AM by dspNY »

Massive swing from September where they actually had Trump up 2 in the 4-way and tied head to head...

The lead is 9 in both the head to head and 4-way heats.

Clinton's approval is 47/52 which adds evidence that her favorable numbers are improving. Perhaps it's a grudging acceptance of her looking like the next President
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Gass3268
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 05:28:28 AM »

Damn, that's an 11 point swing!
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 05:31:45 AM »

Nate Silver says Selzer is the best pollster. (A+ pollster)
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Gass3268
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 05:37:53 AM »

Nate Silver says Selzer is the best pollster. (A+ pollster)

Yeah, I'm expecting a big bump in their models for Clinton.
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Landslide Lyndon
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 06:03:58 AM »

Majestic poll! Trump is sinking faster than a Mafia whistleblower in concrete shoes.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 06:05:54 AM »

POSITIVELY BRILLIANT!!!!!


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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 06:09:38 AM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 06:13:04 AM by HookiePook »

Nate Silver says Selzer is the best pollster. (A+ pollster)

Yeah, I'm expecting a big bump in their models for Clinton.

I can see him at his keyboard now typing up today's 538 update...

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Gass3268
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 06:21:15 AM »

Barack Obama Approval 51/44 (+7)
Barack Obama Favorables 55/44 (+11)
Bill Clinton Favorables 50/47 (+3)
Hillary Clinton Favorables 47/52 (-5)
Donald Trump Favorables 37/62 (-25)
Tim Kaine Favorables 41/39 (+2)
Mike Pence Favorables 47/38 (+9)
Democratic Party Favorables 48/47 (+1)
Republican Party Favorables 35/61 (-26)
Michelle Obama Favorables 62/33 (+29)
Paul Ryan Favorables 37/46 (-9)

Understands the issues that matter most to the middle class: Clinton 52/38 (+14)
Knows what it takes to create jobs: Trump 50/43 (+7)
Would change the way Washington does business: Trump 63/24 (+39)
Has the right temperament to be president: Clinton 59/27 (+32)
Could get things done in Washington: Clinton 51/40 (+11)
Would be a good role model for children: Clinton 56/21 (+35)
Is trustworthy: Clinton 39/37 (+2)
Would serve effectively as commander-in-chief: Clinton 51/39 (+12)
Has the best vision for the future: Clinton 50/41 (+9)

Men: Clinton 46/44 (+2)
Women: Clinton 55/38 (+17)
<35: Clinton 52/36 (+16)
35-54: Clinton 55/38 (+17)
55+: Tie 46/46 (0)
65+: Clinton 47/44 (+3)
Republicans + Leaners: Trump 85/6 (+79)
Democrats + Leaners: Clinton 93/4 (+89)
Independents: Clinton +1 39/38 (+1)
Non College Educated: Clinton 48/44 (+4)
College Educated: Clinton 56/34 (+22)
White: Trump 49/40 (+9)
Non-White: Clinton 74/21 (+53)
College Educated Whites: Clinton +13
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mark_twain
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 06:34:56 AM »

Fantastic!
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dspNY
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 06:40:57 AM »

I also think based on the internals in this poll, if Selzer re-polled Iowa, she would find Clinton with a narrow lead
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 06:41:23 AM »

Barack Obama Approval 51/44 (+7)
Barack Obama Favorables 55/44 (+11)
Bill Clinton Favorables 50/47 (+3)
Hillary Clinton Favorables 47/52 (-5)
Donald Trump Favorables 37/62 (-25)
Tim Kaine Favorables 41/39 (+2)
Mike Pence Favorables 47/38 (+9)
Democratic Party Favorables 48/47 (+1)
Republican Party Favorables 35/61 (-26)
Michelle Obama Favorables 62/33 (+29)
Paul Ryan Favorables 37/46 (-9)

Understands the issues that matter most to the middle class: Clinton 52/38 (+14)
Knows what it takes to create jobs: Trump 50/43 (+7)
Would change the way Washington does business: Trump 63/24 (+39)
Has the right temperament to be president: Clinton 59/27 (+32)
Could get things done in Washington: Clinton 51/40 (+11)
Would be a good role model for children: Clinton 56/21 (+35)
Is trustworthy: Clinton 39/37 (+2)
Would serve effectively as commander-in-chief: Clinton 51/39 (+12)
Has the best vision for the future: Clinton 50/41 (+9)

Men: Clinton 46/44 (+2)
Women: Clinton 55/38 (+17)
<35: Clinton 52/36 (+16)
35-54: Clinton 55/38 (+17)
55+: Tie 46/46 (0)
65+: Clinton 47/44 (+3)
Republicans + Leaners: Trump 85/6 (+79)
Democrats + Leaners: Clinton 93/4 (+89)
Independents: Clinton +1 39/38 (+1)
Non College Educated: Clinton 48/44 (+4)
College Educated: Clinton 56/34 (+22)
White: Trump 49/40 (+9)
Non-White: Clinton 74/21 (+53)
College Educated Whites: Clinton +13

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Middle-aged Europe
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 06:44:28 AM »

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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 07:08:10 AM »

3 new national, 2 new state polls this morning, and none show Trump with 40%.
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Erich Maria Remarque
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2016, 08:06:58 AM »



Why could he not just shut up about women and talk about Hillary (she is not one). It was Trump +2 for just one month ago...



Right now the best outcome for "the movement" is, if Trump gets killed...
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BoAtlantis
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« Reply #15 on: October 19, 2016, 08:14:42 AM »

I also think based on the internals in this poll, if Selzer re-polled Iowa, she would find Clinton with a narrow lead

Based on absentee ballots, Iowa will likely go Trump unless Hillary starts bringing it back with early voting. Midwest swing voters seem to be stubbornly pro-Trump.
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Panda Express
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« Reply #16 on: October 19, 2016, 08:24:44 AM »

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HillOfANight
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« Reply #17 on: October 19, 2016, 08:28:51 AM »

I also think based on the internals in this poll, if Selzer re-polled Iowa, she would find Clinton with a narrow lead

Based on absentee ballots, Iowa will likely go Trump unless Hillary starts bringing it back with early voting. Midwest swing voters seem to be stubbornly pro-Trump.

http://www.usatoday.com/story/news/2016/10/18/mock-election-children-pick-clinton-over-trump/92298152/

Even the kids in Iowa are for Trump lol
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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #18 on: October 19, 2016, 08:35:13 AM »

The swings are real!
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RJEvans
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« Reply #19 on: October 19, 2016, 08:50:43 AM »

I certainly do feel there is the potential for a double digit Clinton victory, but because there is three weeks left, I think there is room for Republicans to come back home and pull the lever for Trump and closing the gap a bit.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
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« Reply #20 on: October 19, 2016, 09:11:28 AM »

Understands the issues that matter most to the middle class: Clinton 52/38 (+14)
Knows what it takes to create jobs: Trump 50/43 (+7)
Would change the way Washington does business: Trump 63/24 (+39)
Has the right temperament to be president: Clinton 59/27 (+32)
Could get things done in Washington: Clinton 51/40 (+11)
Would be a good role model for children: Clinton 56/21 (+35)
Is trustworthy: Clinton 39/37 (+2)
Would serve effectively as commander-in-chief: Clinton 51/39 (+12)

Has the best vision for the future: Clinton 50/41 (+9)

Game, set, and match.  If you can't even beat Clinton on trustworthiness - Hillary's number one weak spot with undecideds - and you're a Republican man down double digits against a Democratic woman on effective military leadership, you've lost.  Period.
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Sir Mohamed
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« Reply #21 on: October 19, 2016, 09:35:46 AM »

#Trumpunder40 LOL

But 8% for Johnson seems way off.
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Starbucks Union Thug HokeyPuck
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« Reply #22 on: October 19, 2016, 09:40:22 AM »

I certainly do feel there is the potential for a double digit Clinton victory, but because there is three weeks left, I think there is room for Republicans to come back home and pull the lever for Trump and closing the gap a bit.

Whatever "come home" effect for Repubs happens will be offset by the ground game.  Mark my words.  Clinton's is extraordinary, built off of Obama's.  Trump has none.
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Antonio the Sixth
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« Reply #23 on: October 19, 2016, 11:37:07 AM »

Glorious news!
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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #24 on: October 19, 2016, 11:46:34 AM »

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