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| |-+  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  VT-VPR Poll/Castleton Polling Institute: Scott +1
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Author Topic: VT-VPR Poll/Castleton Polling Institute: Scott +1  (Read 768 times)
Castro
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« on: October 19, 2016, 09:52:59 am »
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Phil Scott (R) - 39%
Sue Minter (D) - 38%
Other - 5%
Bill "Spaceman" Lee (Liberty Union)- 2%
Not Sure - 14%



http://digital.vpr.net/post/vpr-poll-overall-results-full-data#stream/0
« Last Edit: October 19, 2016, 10:02:57 am by Castro »Logged
mds32
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 10:00:22 am »
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Woohoo! Phil Scott!!!!
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"Self-esteem comes from achievement, not from lax standards and false praise." - Condoleezza Rice
Figueira
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 10:02:19 am »
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FINALLY!

I guess I should call it Tilt Scott now, but this one could go down to the wire. And by the wire I mean the legislature, which will vote for the PV winner because they're so nice.

Lots of undecideds, though.

I hope Minter can overcome this one point gap and destroy Scott's NIMBY campaign.
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 10:03:24 am »
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Oh no
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Dave Leip
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 10:06:15 am »

New Poll: Vermont Governor by Castleton Polling Institute on 2016-10-14

Summary: D: 38%, R: 39%, U: 16%

Poll Source URL: Full Poll Details
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Figueira
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 10:08:00 am »
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Sanders needs to actually campaign for Minter. It should help, since his fans seem to be rather unconvinced.
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Castro
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 10:11:49 am »
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Lt. Gov numbers:

"If the Vermont lieutenant governorís election were held today, would you vote for Randy Brock the Republican, David Zuckerman the Democrat/Progressive, or for someone else?"

David Zuckerman (D/P) - 43%
Randy Brock (R) - 26%
Other - 8%
Boots Wardinski - 1% (Answer Volunteered)
Not sure - 20%

AG numbers:

"If the election for Vermontís attorney general were held today, would you vote for Deborah Bucknam the Republican, TJ Donovan the Democrat, or for someone else?"

TJ Donovan (D) - 54%
Deborah Bucknam (R) - 12%
Other - 8%
Rosemarie Jackowski - 3% (Answer Volunteered)
Not sure - 21%
« Last Edit: October 19, 2016, 10:14:37 am by Castro »Logged
Figueira
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 10:13:12 am »
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Lt. Gov numbers:

"If the Vermont lieutenant governorís election were held today, would you vote for Randy Brock the Republican, David Zuckerman the Democrat/Progressive, or for someone else?"

David Zuckerman (D/P) - 43%
Randy Brock (R) - 26%
Other - 8%
Boots Wardinski - 1% (Answer Volunteered)
Not sure   20%

At least we have Zuckerman.
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Mr.Phips
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 10:24:21 am »
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This is actually pretty good for Minter.  I would guess that most undecideds will likely go for Minter.
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Heisenberg
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 10:30:19 am »
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Lt. Gov numbers:

"If the Vermont lieutenant governorís election were held today, would you vote for Randy Brock the Republican, David Zuckerman the Democrat/Progressive, or for someone else?"

David Zuckerman (D/P) - 43%
Randy Brock (R) - 26%
Other - 8%
Boots Wardinski - 1% (Answer Volunteered)
Not sure - 20%

AG numbers:

"If the election for Vermontís attorney general were held today, would you vote for Deborah Bucknam the Republican, TJ Donovan the Democrat, or for someone else?"

TJ Donovan (D) - 54%
Deborah Bucknam (R) - 12%
Other - 8%
Rosemarie Jackowski - 3% (Answer Volunteered)
Not sure - 21%
I wish Scott Milne went for Lieutenant Governor instead of Senate.
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I've been trying to tell you guys. Clinton's win is going to be massive. Imagine Obama's numbers with minorities, four more years of minority population growth, and Clinton out-performing him by >5% with white voters. No state will be safe.

MT Treasurer
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 10:34:36 am »
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Yeah, this is a Tossup and obviously more competitive than East Vermont.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 11:59:49 am »
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66% of undecideds are voting for Clinton, Stein, or Sanders, so if they break towards Minter, she's in good shape.
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Ebsy
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 12:14:04 pm »
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Looks like a Minter win is more likely than not.
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xīngkěruž
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 01:13:37 pm »
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Well, this does seem like a toss-up, rather than Safe D or Likely R. Considering that we're talking about Vermont here, I'd bet on Minter, since the undecideds are probably more likely to break for her.
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Senator LLR
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« Reply #14 on: October 19, 2016, 07:45:47 pm »
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How is the Spaceman doing so poorly? Cry Cry Cry
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« Reply #15 on: October 21, 2016, 08:56:21 pm »
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Fantastic numbers for Zuckerman!

Also, I'm very glad that we finally got a poll here.
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