Whats your electoral map at this point
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  Whats your electoral map at this point
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Author Topic: Whats your electoral map at this point  (Read 3475 times)
OSR stands with Israel
Computer89
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« on: October 19, 2016, 02:30:58 PM »

Heres mine



Clinton 359
Trump 173
McMullin 6
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Darthpi – Anti-Florida Activist
darthpi
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« Reply #1 on: October 19, 2016, 02:43:06 PM »

This was my map as of Sunday.



I don't see there being too many 60%+ states. Maryland, Hawaii, maybe West Virginia, Alabama, and Massachusetts.
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‼realJohnEwards‼
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« Reply #2 on: October 19, 2016, 02:44:48 PM »
« Edited: October 19, 2016, 02:46:48 PM by @realJohnEwards »


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Blackacre
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« Reply #3 on: October 19, 2016, 03:22:31 PM »

Just updated my Atlas prediction & confidence maps.





You saved me the time it would have taken to make my own map, because it would pretty much have been yours
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skoods
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« Reply #4 on: October 19, 2016, 05:55:36 PM »

Just updated my Atlas prediction & confidence maps.





This, except Trump wins Utah.
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Crumpets
Thinking Crumpets Crumpet
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« Reply #5 on: October 19, 2016, 06:02:55 PM »

The two states I'm least sure about are Iowa and Arizona. Right now I'm playing it safe and keeping them the same as 2012, but if there's one established poll to show Hillary leading Trump in Arizona and over 45% of the vote, I'll switch it over.

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AGA
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« Reply #6 on: October 19, 2016, 06:04:28 PM »





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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
polnut
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« Reply #7 on: October 19, 2016, 06:08:06 PM »

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Dr. Arch
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« Reply #8 on: October 19, 2016, 06:14:39 PM »

Just updated mine in response to this thread. Check it out under my avatar. Didn't have to change much really, Utah was the biggest change.
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mark_twain
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« Reply #9 on: October 19, 2016, 06:36:10 PM »




Dem   
378

Rep   
154
 
Ind   
6
 

 

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ProudModerate2
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« Reply #10 on: October 19, 2016, 07:09:47 PM »

It seems that everyone wants Utah to be colored in something other than blue or red this year.
8-)
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Orthogonian Society Treasurer
CommanderClash
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« Reply #11 on: October 19, 2016, 07:12:00 PM »



Give or take Utah.
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Kingpoleon
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« Reply #12 on: October 19, 2016, 07:17:45 PM »


367: Hillary Clinton/Tim Kaine - 47.5%
171: Donald Trump/Mike Pence - 40.2%
Gary Johnson/William Weld - 7.1%
Evan McMullin/Mindy Finn - 2.5%
Jill Stein/Ajamu Baraka - 2.1%
Others - 0.6%
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Wisconsin+17
Ben Kenobi
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« Reply #13 on: October 19, 2016, 09:08:36 PM »

Keeping my map from before. If Trump drops to -10, it's going to break the election wide open.
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #14 on: October 20, 2016, 01:08:54 PM »

Prediction:



Confidence:

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Okay, maybe Mike Johnson is a competent parliamentarian.
Nathan
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« Reply #15 on: October 20, 2016, 01:10:24 PM »


Exactly this.
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Ban my account ffs!
snowguy716
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« Reply #16 on: October 20, 2016, 01:31:29 PM »

This seems very realistic.  Iowa and Ohio along with ME-2 are my worrying spots for Hillary while a thing like GA and AZ flipping on your map could conceivably happen.  But Trump could lose Utah to McMullen and NE-2 might make up for an embarrassment in ME-2.
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #17 on: October 20, 2016, 01:56:17 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb here.  This is not what I think would happen today.  But I've tried to project how the race will turn out if it continues on the current trajectory, which assumes at least one more major opposition hit on Trump.



Clinton 405
Trump 127
McMullin 6
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Beefalow and the Consumer
Beef
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« Reply #18 on: October 20, 2016, 02:10:51 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb here.  This is not what I think would happen today.  But I've tried to project how the race will turn out if it continues on the current trajectory, which assumes at least one more major opposition hit on Trump.



Clinton 405
Trump 127
McMullin 6

Clinton wins Texas in this scenario.
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adrac
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« Reply #19 on: October 20, 2016, 02:14:54 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb here.  This is not what I think would happen today.  But I've tried to project how the race will turn out if it continues on the current trajectory, which assumes at least one more major opposition hit on Trump.



Clinton 405
Trump 127
McMullin 6

Clinton wins Texas in this scenario.

And Alaska.
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Speed of Sound
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« Reply #20 on: October 20, 2016, 02:20:36 PM »

I've got it about here:



Clinton: 49% 335 EV
Trump: 41.5% 197 EV
McMullin: 1.5%; 6 EV
Johnson 5%
Stein 1.5%
Other: 1.5%
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tinman64
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« Reply #21 on: October 20, 2016, 02:26:49 PM »



Clinton 353
Trump 179
McMullin 6

PV:

Clinton ~50%
Trump ~44%
Others ~6%
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Senator-elect Spark
Spark498
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« Reply #22 on: October 20, 2016, 02:33:03 PM »



Hillary Clinton / Tim Kaine (D) - 334 EVs, 49.1%
Donald Trump / Mike Pence (R) - 198 EVs, 42.3%
Evan McMullin / Mindy Finn (I) - 6 EVs, 2.5%
Gary Johnson / William Weld (L) - 0 EVs, 5.3%
Jill Stein / Ajamu Baraka (G) - 0 EVs, 0.8%

Confidence:

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Frozen Sky Ever Why
ShadowOfTheWave
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« Reply #23 on: October 20, 2016, 02:33:51 PM »

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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #24 on: October 20, 2016, 02:37:53 PM »

I'm going to go out on a limb here.  This is not what I think would happen today.  But I've tried to project how the race will turn out if it continues on the current trajectory, which assumes at least one more major opposition hit on Trump.



Clinton 405
Trump 127
McMullin 6

Clinton wins Texas in this scenario.

And Alaska.

Both very possible.  Those were the two I hesitated over the longest.
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