PREDICT - IL 10 Dold (R) vs. Schneider (D)

[Progressive]

I think 52 Schneider - 48 Dold

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

[Heisenberg]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

LOL I think Democrats may try to primary out Schneider with someone who can lock down this seat. But that will be tough, it's one of the last (downballot) Rockefeller Republican holdouts.

[Kingpoleon]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

Dan Seals could run against Schneider in the primaries in 2018 or 2020. In Lake Forest, Howard Radzely, former Deputy Secretary of Labor, resides, working for Boeing. Radzely could run for this seat in 2018 if Dold loses this year. Corine Wood(R), former Lieutenant Governor, lives in Lake Forest too.

[Heisenberg]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

Dan Seals could run against Schneider in the primaries in 2018 or 2020. In Lake Forest, Howard Radzely, former Deputy Secretary of Labor, resides, working for Boeing. Radzely could run for this seat in 2018 if Dold loses this year. Corine Wood(R), former Lieutenant Governor, lives in Lake Forest too.

Seals couldn't win the district in 2008 of all years, so I don't think he's a good candidate. Wood is up in age, has been out of office for over a decade, and is associated with unpopular ex-Gov. George Ryan, so she is not good either.

[Progressive]

I think Mark Kirk will run for the seat in 2018

[Young Conservative]

I think Mark Kirk will run for the seat in 2018

It is more likely Dold will run for senate before that happens.

[Kingpoleon]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

Dan Seals could run against Schneider in the primaries in 2018 or 2020. In Lake Forest, Howard Radzely, former Deputy Secretary of Labor, resides, working for Boeing. Radzely could run for this seat in 2018 if Dold loses this year. Corine Wood(R), former Lieutenant Governor, lives in Lake Forest too.

Seals couldn't win the district in 2008 of all years, so I don't think he's a good candidate. Wood is up in age, has been out of office for over a decade, and is associated with unpopular ex-Gov. George Ryan, so she is not good either.

Seals ran against Kirk. Additionally, just because he could best Schneider in a primary doesn't mean he has a good chance in the general.

[mds32]

I think Dold wins 53-47. I think the Democrats will be more split on Schneider this time due to the primary fight.

[Mr. Illini]

I think Dold wins again. Schneider is trying to run the "generic Democrat" campaign with the idea that Trump is a Republican, but I think that voters view Trump and Dold completely separately. I would predict an even greater crossover percentage than in past years, which has always been high in the district.

Dold 51 - 49 Schneider

If Schneider loses, it is his last go. I think Dems are upset with the campaign that he has run, and there is plenty of Democratic $$$ and influence residing in the district. J.B. Pritzker - one of Obama's biggest backers since he was in the State Senate - resides there. I could see him making a run. Possibly Rotering again or another Highland Park pol - lots of Democratic $ and power there.

I do not expect Mark Kirk or Dan Seals - the old rivalry - to make a run for the seat again.

[JMT]

51 Schneider - 49 Dold. Dold then runs again for the seat in 2018 and wins it back

[136or142]

^ That sounds about right, but look for Dold to win the seat back in 2018, then Schneider wins it back in 2020, then Dold wins it back in 2022, and so on until one of them is dead.

This is what would have happened in New Hampshire 1st if Frank Guinta hadn't have messed up.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I think Dold wins again. Schneider is trying to run the "generic Democrat" campaign with the idea that Trump is a Republican, but I think that voters view Trump and Dold completely separately. I would predict an even greater crossover percentage than in past years, which has always been high in the district.

Dold 51 - 49 Schneider

If Schneider loses, it is his last go. I think Dems are upset with the campaign that he has run, and there is plenty of Democratic $$$ and influence residing in the district. J.B. Pritzker - one of Obama's biggest backers since he was in the State Senate - resides there. I could see him making a run. Possibly Rotering again or another Highland Park pol - lots of Democratic $ and power there.

I do not expect Mark Kirk or Dan Seals - the old rivalry - to make a run for the seat again.

If Dold wins this year, he wins fairly comfortably in 2018, and likely becomes entrenched. The only question then is if he's satisfied with the house, or if he'll try to run statewide at some point.

[Green Line]

I think Dold wins again. Schneider is trying to run the "generic Democrat" campaign with the idea that Trump is a Republican, but I think that voters view Trump and Dold completely separately. I would predict an even greater crossover percentage than in past years, which has always been high in the district.

Dold 51 - 49 Schneider

If Schneider loses, it is his last go. I think Dems are upset with the campaign that he has run, and there is plenty of Democratic $$$ and influence residing in the district. J.B. Pritzker - one of Obama's biggest backers since he was in the State Senate - resides there. I could see him making a run. Possibly Rotering again or another Highland Park pol - lots of Democratic $ and power there.

I do not expect Mark Kirk or Dan Seals - the old rivalry - to make a run for the seat again.

If Dold wins this year, he wins fairly comfortably in 2018, and likely becomes entrenched. The only question then is if he's satisfied with the house, or if he'll try to run statewide at some point.

He will never become entrenched.  This is how it's going to be every presidential year for Dold.  I have to wonder if the amount of money spent on this seat every year is worth it for the NRCC.

[Mr. Illini]

Schneider takes it, 52-47

Illinois Dems really were strong on Tuesday despite a bad night nationally. Senate race was called by media outlets upon poll-close and Schneider took the 10th pretty strongly.

[100% pro-life no matter what]

I'm almost happy Dold and Kirk lost because of what it does for the party.  It shows that my party is 100% united behind the right to life and will work to make sure Roe goes away forever.

[RFayette]

I'm almost happy Dold and Kirk lost because of what it does for the party.  It shows that my party is 100% united behind the right to life and will work to make sure Roe goes away forever.

Now you've triggered RINO Tom

He's going to sport a green or red avatar soon enough, I wager.

[Maxwell]

Is Dold going to try AGAIN or is this going to finally have a stable incumbent?

[PAK Man]

Schneider takes it, 52-47

Illinois Dems really were strong on Tuesday despite a bad night nationally. Senate race was called by media outlets upon poll-close and Schneider took the 10th pretty strongly.

Susana Mendoza also won the comptroller's race, which genuinely surprised me. I thought Leslie Munger would narrowly hold on. I think the last time an incumbent comptroller was defeated was back in the 70s. Then again, this is one of those "revolving door" offices in the state, where most office holders stay for just one term before running for another office (Treasurer is another revolving door office)

[Xing]

The abortion debate is not over, so long as there are pro-choicers in this country, so stop acting as if the issue can be resolved any time soon.

[Mr. Illini]

Is Dold going to try AGAIN or is this going to finally have a stable incumbent?

I would guess that he will run again, chalking this year up to Trump unpopularity.

In 2018, though, he'll be facing two years of a Trump presidency and Rauner at the top of the ballot.

[Mr.Phips]

Is Dold going to try AGAIN or is this going to finally have a stable incumbent?

I would guess that he will run again, chalking this year up to Trump unpopularity.

In 2018, though, he'll be facing two years of a Trump presidency and Rauner at the top of the ballot.

I would think that Trump being President would make it much harder to win the seat again than in 2014.

[Deblano]

Bye Dold.

[Attorney General, LGC Speaker, and Former PPT Dwarven Dragon]

Dold lost because Kirk decided he needed to go out with a bang.  If Kirk had actually run a good campaign, yes he still would have lost, but Dold would have held on. Hopefully Rauner has more sense in two years.

[Heisenberg]

Dold lost because Kirk decided he needed to go out with a bang.  If Kirk had actually run a good campaign, yes he still would have lost, but Dold would have held on. Hopefully Rauner has more sense in two years.

I thought Dold was going to win until Kirk kept on saying a ton of racist bullcrap and shot himself in the foot over and over. Kirk took his protege down with him in doing so.