Debate 3 Poll, Focus Group, Pundit Reaction Megathread (user search)
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  Debate 3 Poll, Focus Group, Pundit Reaction Megathread (search mode)
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Author Topic: Debate 3 Poll, Focus Group, Pundit Reaction Megathread  (Read 8186 times)
Alcon
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« on: October 20, 2016, 12:45:39 AM »

Speaking of pundits, oh my god this is hilarious/cringe-worthy

Megyn Kelly relentlessly grills DNC chair over allegations she leaked town hall question to Clinton
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Alcon
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Posts: 30,866
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« Reply #1 on: October 20, 2016, 05:21:23 AM »
« Edited: October 20, 2016, 05:30:06 AM by Alcon »


Well, first of all, that's not the debate winner, and it's not just among decideds.  It's the gun-to-your-head question ("if you had to choose") about who they support, not who won the debate.

Don't get too excited about those numbers, either.  It's a n=1503 poll, so that means the undecided/third-party sample is 120.  The margin of error on 120 people in a national poll is +/-9%.  Because the MoE applies to both candidate values, the margin of error on the percentage margin is +-/-18%.  Trump is barely up on that question beyond the margin of error, and seems to have a lot of potential soft supporters in this poll.  However, note that the race was Clinton +4 in both the pre-debate and post-debate samples.  So, as good news goes, this is pretty weak.

This poll shows unenthusiastic potential for Trump, which is one of his better results lately, but I wouldn't get too excited about it...and the poll showed the same potential before the debate, so we know the baseline here might be a bit too Trump-friendly.  This is what passes as good news for Trump these days, but only because the pickings are slim.
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