Presidential Ratings and Predictions - Washington

[ElectionsGuy]

Two votes. One for a rating (Safe D, Lean R, Toss-Up, etc.) and one for a prediction of who will win (Clinton, Trump, or Other).

Note: If you think Johnson/Other will win a state, just vote 'Other' and don't vote for a rating.

Update/vote in these threads if you haven't already! There's no time limit and you can still affect the overall result:

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Ratings

Arizona: Lean R --> Toss-Up
Utah: Toss-Up --> Lean R

Safe Clinton: 186
Likely Clinton: 55
Lean Clinton: 16
Toss-Up: 80
Lean Trump: 32
Likely Trump: 65
Safe Trump: 74

Clinton: 257
Trump: 171
Toss-Up: 80

Predictions

Clinton: 326✔
Trump: 182

Washington: Safe D, 58-38 Clinton.

[Fitzgerald]

Clinton blowout. Something like 60-36 seems indicated, and Stein has a good chance of making it to 3% or so.

[Xing]

Anyone who thinks Washington is even remotely competitive must have been in a coma for the past 15 years. Safe D, Hillary wins 57-38.

[Lyin' Steve]

The loonies in and around Seattle might give Stein+Johnson 10%.
Clinton 52 - Trump 38 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3

[Crumpets]

Safe D, Hillary wins by ~16

[Lolasknives]

Obviously safe for Hillary. Not enough white trash in the state to make Drumpf come within 5% of winning.

[Alaska2392]

The loonies in and around Seattle might give Stein+Johnson 10%.
Clinton 52 - Trump 38 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3

In the last election the "Loonies in and around Seattle" (i.e. King County) gave Jill Stein 0.75% of the vote and Gary Johnson 1.28% of the vote. There would need to be a huge swing in King County to get Johnson and Stein to 10%.  Even within the county I doubt Johnson will get to 7%.

I will be shocked if Clinton only wins this state by the same margin as Obama '12.

[Lyin' Steve]

The loonies in and around Seattle might give Stein+Johnson 10%.
Clinton 52 - Trump 38 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3

In the last election the "Loonies in and around Seattle" (i.e. King County) gave Jill Stein 0.75% of the vote and Gary Johnson 1.28% of the vote.  I can only name one Gary Johnson sign I have seen in Seattle and know one person with a Jill Stein sticker on her car. I'm expecting Johnson below 5% and Stein maybe a little higher than last time at 2.5-3 for all those liberals who can't stand Clinton.

I will be shocked if Clinton only wins this state by the same margin as Obama '12.

A)  That was the fourth-highest finish for Gary after NM, CO, and OR.
B)  It's much trendier and cool among the Seattle crowd to vote third party than it was in 2012.

[evergreenarbor]

Titanium D.

Clinton: 54%
Trump: 36%
Johnson: 8%
Other: 2%

[peterthlee]

Safe D-Solid
Clinton 61-36-3

[Crumpets]

The loonies in and around Seattle might give Stein+Johnson 10%.
Clinton 52 - Trump 38 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3

In the last election the "Loonies in and around Seattle" (i.e. King County) gave Jill Stein 0.75% of the vote and Gary Johnson 1.28% of the vote.  I can only name one Gary Johnson sign I have seen in Seattle and know one person with a Jill Stein sticker on her car. I'm expecting Johnson below 5% and Stein maybe a little higher than last time at 2.5-3 for all those liberals who can't stand Clinton.

I will be shocked if Clinton only wins this state by the same margin as Obama '12.

A)  That was the fourth-highest finish for Gary after NM, CO, and OR.
B)  It's much trendier and cool among the Seattle crowd to vote third party than it was in 2012.

I can vouch for this. The number of Johnson+Stein signs is about on par with Clinton signs in the city. I'm pretty sure I have yet to see a Trump sign in Seattle proper.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

Safe D, Clinton+14.

[Tiger front]

Safe D.
Clinton 57%
Trump 37%
Other 6%

[Xing]

The loonies in and around Seattle might give Stein+Johnson 10%.
Clinton 52 - Trump 38 - Johnson 7 - Stein 3

In the last election the "Loonies in and around Seattle" (i.e. King County) gave Jill Stein 0.75% of the vote and Gary Johnson 1.28% of the vote.  I can only name one Gary Johnson sign I have seen in Seattle and know one person with a Jill Stein sticker on her car. I'm expecting Johnson below 5% and Stein maybe a little higher than last time at 2.5-3 for all those liberals who can't stand Clinton.

I will be shocked if Clinton only wins this state by the same margin as Obama '12.

A)  That was the fourth-highest finish for Gary after NM, CO, and OR.
B)  It's much trendier and cool among the Seattle crowd to vote third party than it was in 2012.

I can vouch for this. The number of Johnson+Stein signs is about on par with Clinton signs in the city. I'm pretty sure I have yet to see a Trump sign in Seattle proper.

While it might be more "in vogue" to vote third party this year, I'm not sure there are really significantly more people who plan on doing so this year, compared to 2012. I've seen plenty of Hillary signs and bumper stickers popping up in my neck of the woods, and the people I know who are voting third party generally did so in 2012 as well (with the exception of a few Romney supporters.)

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Safe D, Clinton 57-38

[AGA]

Safe D

Clinton: 57%
Trump: 39%

[Ogre Mage]

lol at the people who predicted that Trump will win Washington.  You clearly are ignorant about the state's politics.

[TDAS04]

Safe D, Clinton wins 55-37.

[Senator-elect Spark]

Safe D.

Clinton 53
Trump 37
Johnson 8
Stein 2

[Seattle]

Clinton: 58%
Trump: 36%
Johnson: 4%
Stein: 2%