Can Trump realistically win without Pennslyvania?

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Trade CO for WI if you so choose.

Trump cannot win WI.

This map is literally Trump's only path to victory.  He...

Must win Iowa (slight R for now)
Must win Arizona (tossup to slight D)
Must win Ohio (slight D)
Must win Florida (lean D)
Must win North Carolina (lean D)
Must win Nevada (lean D) to avoid a draw
Must win Utah (? ? ?) to avoid a draw
Must win Colorado (likely D)

Also,
Must win ME-02 and NE-02 if he doesn't win Nevada.

Clinton has six easy paths to victory: CO, FL, NC, OH, IA, AZ.  To quote Matthew Mercer, "How do you want to do this?"

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Yougov Election Model 10/20
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/
CO: Hillary 47.2% | TRUMP 42.6%
WI: Hillary 47.7% | TRUMP 44.1%

So, TRUMP's path to make 270 without PA.
Romney + OH(18) + FL(29) + IA(6) + NV(6) + CO(9) = 274
Romney + OH(18) + FL(29) + IA(6) + WI(10) + ME-2(1) = 270

Plus, TRUMP can win Pennsylvania. it is dead heat now.

1. Google Survey Poll(PA). 10/15-10/19
https://datastudio.google.com/u/0/#/org//reporting/0B29GVb5ISrT0TGk1TW5tVF9Ed2M/page/GsS

Pennsylvania. 874 LV.
Hillary 36.67% | TRUMP 35.97% | Johnson 7.58%
* Considering, Jill Stein wasn’t in the Poll, Actually Hillary’s numbers should be minus 1~2%.

2. Yougov Election Model Pennsylvania 10/20
https://today.yougov.com/us-election/?state=Pennsylvania
Hillary 46.4% | TRUMP 45.8%.   

 

Wisconsin (4-way)
Monmouth   10/15 - 10/18: Clinton +7
WPR/St. Norbert   10/13 - 10/16: Clinton +8
Marquette   10/6 - 10/9: Clinton +7
Loras   10/4 - 10/5: Clinton +8
CBS News/YouGov   10/5 - 10/7: Clinton +4
Gravis   10/4 - 10/4: Clinton +8

Pennsylvania (4-way)
Emerson   10/17 - 10/19: Clinton +4
Quinnipiac   10/10 - 10/16: Clinton +6
Bloomberg   10/7 - 10/11: Clinton +9
Susquehanna   10/4 - 10/9: Clinton +4
CBS News/YouGov   10/5 - 10/7: Clinton +8

If Pennsylvania is a dead heat, so is Missouri.

[Beefalow and the Consumer]

Dubya won twice without Pennsylvania.  

Dubya also had Virginia as safe R both elections, and Colorado lean/likely R.