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| |-+  2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls (Moderator: Brittain33)
| | |-+  NH-WMUR/UNH: Van Ostern takes the lead in deep blue Granite State
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Author Topic: NH-WMUR/UNH: Van Ostern takes the lead in deep blue Granite State  (Read 573 times)
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« on: October 21, 2016, 04:55:57 am »
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44% Colin Van Ostern (D)
38% Chris Sununu (R)

Sununu favorability: 32/37 (-5)!!!
Van Ostern favorability: 33/13 (+20)

Sununu trails by 21 points among NH females and only leads by 10 with males.

NH House of Representatives Generic Ballot: D+9 (46/37)
NH Senate Generic Ballot: D+13 (49/36)

http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_fall_govelec102016.pdf
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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« Reply #1 on: October 21, 2016, 05:31:13 am »
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I think this poll is just democratic tilted as a whole
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« Reply #2 on: October 21, 2016, 08:29:42 am »
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I think this poll state is just democratic tilted as a whole

there you go
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« Reply #3 on: October 21, 2016, 08:41:01 am »
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I think this poll state is just democratic tilted as a whole

there you go

This. Let's dispel with this fiction that NH is the most competitive New England state. If anything, it's the least competitive state in the region, especially in statewide races.
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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« Reply #4 on: October 21, 2016, 10:05:25 am »
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I think this poll state is just democratic tilted as a whole

there you go

This. Let's dispel with this fiction that NH is the most competitive New England state. If anything, it's the least competitive state in the region, especially in statewide races.

A new low for spouting absurd, attention-grabbing statements you KNOW are not true to try to help prove a point that might actually valid if you weren't so unbearable and hyperbolic in trying to prove it.
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« Reply #5 on: October 21, 2016, 10:12:51 am »
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Please at least don't insert your obsession with New Hampshire in the titles of poll threads.
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« Reply #6 on: October 21, 2016, 10:16:57 am »
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This. Let's dispel with this fiction that NH is the most competitive New England state. If anything, it's the least competitive state in the region, especially in statewide races.

Do you happen to remember even a ball park of the generic state senate/house ballot numbers from 2012? These numbers right now look very favorable to Democrats. It's hard to see how they don't retake the legislature with those, that is, unless they are more or less the same as 2012 (as we know that turned out)
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« Reply #7 on: October 21, 2016, 03:24:24 pm »
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44% Colin Van Ostern (D)
38% Chris Sununu (R)

Sununu favorability: 32/37 (-5)!!!
Van Ostern favorability: 33/13 (+20)

Sununu trails by 21 points among NH females and only leads by 10 with males.

NH House of Representatives Generic Ballot: D+9 (46/37)
NH Senate Generic Ballot: D+13 (49/36)

http://cola.unh.edu/sites/cola.unh.edu/files/research_publications/gsp2016_fall_govelec102016.pdf

That is absurd, NH is not "deep blue." Light Blue is preferable.
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« Reply #8 on: October 21, 2016, 03:28:09 pm »
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Am I the only one who kind of likes TNVolunteer's New Hampshire shtick? It's honestly impressive how such a simple gimmick riles up so many Republicans.
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« Reply #9 on: October 21, 2016, 03:30:29 pm »
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Am I the only one who kind of likes TNVolunteer's New Hampshire shtick? It's honestly impressive how such a simple gimmick riles up so many Republicans.

I mean, instead they could explain to us why Republicans are winning statewide races in Vermont, Maine, Massachusetts, Maryland, etc. but not in supposedly ultra-competitive NH?!
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Even if you don't agree with the women stuff, it's really hard to argue that NH is still a competitive swing state. And after 2016 (when Kelly Ayotte and Donald Trump lose the state, despite a very close presidential race and Republicans holding the Senate), this will become clear to you as well, Kingpoleon.

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« Reply #10 on: October 21, 2016, 09:10:44 pm »
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Wow, the GOP may only end up winning Utah and North Dakota as far as the gubernatorial races go.
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