Effects on election if Mosul is retaken from ISIS?

[dspNY]

I wonder whether a hypothetical situation like Mosul being largely cleared of ISIS a day before the election would be a positive for the party in power (in this case, Democrats can say their policies are beating ISIS)

[2952-0-0]

Can you imagine Trump's Twitter tirade when Obama makes a speech hailing the victory?

[SirMuxALot]

You might well also ask what the effects on the election would be if we had simply kept Mosul in the first place.

[‼realJohnEwards‼]

You might well also ask what the effects on the election would be if we had simply kept Mosul in the first place.

So the news cycle would be, "ISIS still doesn't control Mosul"? Mmkay then

[rafta_rafta]

It's easy to take Mosul, ISIS would almost surely retreat into the desert because of American air support. It's much harder to hold Mosul

[Lachi]

Unfortunately, it'll be too late to have any real change.

[Crumpets]

Anybody who actually cares about strategic gains against ISIL are probably voting for Clinton already. Trump voters and undecided voters want to "win" against "terrorism."

[Meclazine for Israel]

Two things.

Firstly, it wont happen by next Tuesday.

I have seen live footage of the Iraqi soldiers sitting around talking on their mobiles.

The same Iraqi soldiers who dropped their guns and ran giving up Mosul in the first place.

Human shields and boobytraps means this will take some time.

Secondly, i think Americans look at the broader picture with Syria, Russia and Iran and will vote with a larger outcome in mind.

So i dont think Mosul will figure as the political potato it's being made out to be, certainly not in this shrinking election window.

[🦀🎂🦀🎂]

Perhaps there will be a boost if Baghdadi is randomly killed, although he hasn't reached the infamy of Mr Bin Laden.

[Speed of Sound]

This isn't a policy election, plain and simple. Policy-relevant actions aren't affecting anything.

[Chunk Yogurt for President!]

This isn't a policy election, plain and simple. Policy-relevant actions aren't affecting anything.

[bilaps]

There is zero percent chance that ISIS will lose Mosul before the election. So you can forget about that.

[HisGrace]

No one voting for or thinking about voting for Trump has any idea what/where Mosul is, so it wouldn't have any effect.

[Angel of Death]

The last time something happening abroad affected a presidential race was the capture of Saddam.

[Enduro]

Not sure if there's enough time left until Election Day.

[ApatheticAustrian]

not soooooo hypothetical:


Iraq Troops Enter ISIS-Seized Mosul for 1st Time in 2 Years
http://www.nbcnews.com/storyline/isis-terror/iraq-troops-enter-isis-seized-mosul-1st-time-2-years-n676116?cid=sm_tw

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[Wisconsin+17]

Won't happen by the election. I'm actually a bit surprised they didn't time it during the summer. They didn't do much then.

[Lachi]

http://www.independent.co.uk/news/world/middle-east/isis-mosul-latest-abu-bakr-al-baghdadi-leader-hiding-defeat-iraq-offensive-assault-a7392016.html

This could be HUGE if they manage to kill him in he next couple of days.